Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 14/10, 16:00

Prediction: Umraniyespor vs Boluspor

Team pages: Umraniyespor · Boluspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Umraniyespor2.08
Boluspor0.87
1X2
65% 22% 14%
Umraniyespor Draw Boluspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Umraniyespor 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLLLWD
Boluspor 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLDLL
Head-to-head
Umraniyespor 3–3 Boluspor (6 last)
  • Umraniyespor4-2Boluspor
  • Boluspor0-1Umraniyespor
  • Umraniyespor1-0Boluspor
  • Boluspor3-0Umraniyespor
  • Boluspor1-0Umraniyespor
  • Umraniyespor1-2Boluspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Umraniyespor 1445 · Boluspor 1389
UmraniyesporDrawBoluspor
Our model65%22%14%
Market65%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umraniyespor (rating 1445 vs 1389).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UmraniyesporBoluspor
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.40.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.11.1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Umraniyespor 3–0–3 Boluspor

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/26
Türkiye 1 Lig
Umraniyespor4-2
HT 1-0
Boluspor
23/09/25
Türkiye 1 Lig
Boluspor0-1
HT 0-0
Umraniyespor
15/03/25
Türkiye 1 Lig
Umraniyespor1-0
HT 0-0
Boluspor
01/11/24
Türkiye 1 Lig
Boluspor3-0
HT 1-0
Umraniyespor
13/04/24
Türkiye 1 Lig
Boluspor1-0
HT 0-0
Umraniyespor
25/11/23
Türkiye 1 Lig
Umraniyespor1-2
HT 0-0
Boluspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kayserispor 9711 18522
2 Bursaspor 9612 17919
3 76 Igdir Belediyespor 9612 14819
4 Keciorengucu 9441 191016
5 Batman Petrolspor 9513 161516
6 Mardin 1969 9432 11615
7 Antalyaspor 9504 151315
8 Sariyer 9432 121015
9 Bandirmaspor 9342 14513
10 Fatih Karagumruk 9342 131213
11 Muglaspor 9261 9812
12 Sivasspor 9252 131211
13 Pendikspor 9243 111710
14 Manisa BBSK 9234 14159
15 Bodrum FK 9153 788
16 Esenler Erokspor 9153 5108
17 Umraniyespor 9144 7107
18 Istanbulspor 9126 7205
19 Vanspor FK 9135 8194
20 Boluspor 9018 3211

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUmraniyesporBoluspor
Sariyer 1-1 D 1-2 L
Bandirmaspor 1-0 W 0-6 L
Antalyaspor 1-2 L 0-1 L
Pendikspor 0-1 L 1-1 D
Muglaspor 0-1 L 0-2 L
Keciorengucu 2-2 D 0-2 L
Mardin 1969 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Umraniyespor (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Umraniyespor

LDLDDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-1 42 D
18/09 Bandirmaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-0 32 W
12/09 Antalyaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-2 34 L
05/09 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-1 43 L
01/09 Muglaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-1 37 L
28/08 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-1 2-2 56 D
22/08 Esenler Erokspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 –– D
15/08 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-2 –– L
08/08 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 –– D
02/05 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-4 1-4 70 L

Boluspor

WLLLLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Antalyaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 15 L
19/09 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 1-2 04 L
12/09 Pendikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-1 33 D
05/09 Bandirmaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-5 0-6 43 L
01/09 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-2 0-2 24 L
28/08 Muglaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-2 05 L
23/08 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-2 0-3 –– L
17/08 Batman Petrolspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-2 –– L
07/08 Manisa BBSK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-2 1-2 –– L
01/05 Serikspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 3-1 84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Umraniyespor vs Boluspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Umraniyespor win (65%). Probabilities: Umraniyespor 65%, draw 22%, Boluspor 14%.

How many goals are expected in Umraniyespor vs Boluspor?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Umraniyespor 2.08 · Boluspor 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Umraniyespor vs Boluspor?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.