Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 07/09, 19:00
Prediction: Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor
Team pages: Caykur Rizespor · Alanyaspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Caykur Rizespor1.57
Alanyaspor0.98
1X2
Caykur Rizespor
Draw
Alanyaspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Caykur Rizespor
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Alanyaspor
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caykur Rizespor
1–3–2
Alanyaspor
(6 last)
- Caykur Rizespor1-1Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor0-0Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor3-1Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor1-0Caykur Rizespor
- Alanyaspor2-1Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor0-0Alanyaspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caykur Rizespor 1535 · Alanyaspor 1459
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caykur Rizespor (rating 1535 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Alanyaspor: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caykur Rizespor | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caykur Rizespor 1–3–2 Alanyaspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Alanyaspor |
| 16/08/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 02/03/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Alanyaspor |
| 28/09/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 20/01/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Alanyaspor | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 19/08/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alanyaspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Caykur Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Corum Belediyespor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caykur Rizespor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Samsunspor | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Besiktas | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Eyupspor | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Kayserispor | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alanyaspor (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caykur Rizespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/04 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Alanyaspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caykur Rizespor win (50%). Probabilities: Caykur Rizespor 50%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 22%.
How many goals are expected in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Caykur Rizespor 1.57 · Alanyaspor 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.