Football · France Division 1 Women · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Fleury 91 (W) vs PSG (W)

Team pages: FC Fleury 91 (W) · PSG (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
FC Fleury 91 (W)0.69
PSG (W)2.03
1X2
11% 21% 68%
FC Fleury 91 (W) Draw PSG (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLDLDW
PSG (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 (W) 0–2–4 PSG (W) (6 last)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)0-2PSG (W)
  • PSG (W)4-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)0-0PSG (W)
  • PSG (W)2-1FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • PSG (W)1-0FC Fleury 91 (W)
  • FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1PSG (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 (W) 1458 · PSG (W) 1620
FC Fleury 91 (W)DrawPSG (W)
Our model11%21%68%
Market11%21%68%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (W) (rating 1458 vs 1620).
  • H2H favours PSG (W): 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Fleury 91 (W)PSG (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 2.33.6 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.33 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 (W) 0–2–4 PSG (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)0-2
HT 0-0
PSG (W)
08/11/25
France Division 1 Women
PSG (W)4-0
HT 1-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)
07/01/25
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)0-0
HT 0-0
PSG (W)
18/10/24
France Division 1 Women
PSG (W)2-1
HT 1-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)
04/05/24
France Cup Women
PSG (W)1-0
HT 0-0
FC Fleury 91 (W)
02/02/24
France Division 1 Women
FC Fleury 91 (W)1-1
HT 1-0
PSG (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 3300 2239
2 PSG (W) 3300 509
3 Marseille (W) 3210 317
4 Paris FC (W) 3201 576
5 Montpellier (W) 3111 524
6 FC Fleury 91 (W) 3111 484
7 Strasbourg (W) 3102 363
8 Le Havre (W) 3102 3103
9 Saint Malo (W) 3102 353
10 Lens (W) 3012 361
11 Toulouse (W) 3012 491
12 Nantes (W) 3012 141

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Fleury 91 (W)PSG (W)
Nantes (W) 1-1 D 1-0 W
St Etienne (W) 1-1 D 2-0 W
Strasbourg (W) 3-1 W 2-0 W
Paris FC (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PSG (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fleury 91 (W)

DLLLWLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 46 W
12/09 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
04/09 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-6 1-7 02 L
06/05 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 36 D
25/04 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 51 L
22/04 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 3-1 20 W
28/03 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 1-2 06 L
21/03 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-2 04 L
11/03 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-2 16 L
21/02 Dijon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 63 D

PSG (W)

WWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-0 106 W
11/09 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 53 W
05/09 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 –– W
16/05 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 93 L
06/05 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-0 71 W
25/04 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-0 61 W
22/04 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-0 101 W
28/03 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-1 14 W
22/03 Montpellier (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 3-2 74 W
11/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 2-1 115 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs PSG (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PSG (W) win (68%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 (W) 11%, draw 21%, PSG (W) 68%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs PSG (W)?

The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Fleury 91 (W) 0.69 · PSG (W) 2.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 (W) vs PSG (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.