Prediction: Nantes (W) vs Montpellier (W)

Team pages: Nantes (W) · Montpellier (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Nantes (W)1.55
Montpellier (W)1.25
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Nantes (W) Draw Montpellier (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nantes (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWDDLLDL
Montpellier (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWLWLWLD
Head-to-head
Nantes (W) 1–2–1 Montpellier (W) (4 last)
  • Nantes (W)2-2Montpellier (W)
  • Montpellier (W)1-2Nantes (W)
  • Nantes (W)2-2Montpellier (W)
  • Montpellier (W)1-0Nantes (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantes (W) 1505 · Montpellier (W) 1469
Nantes (W)DrawMontpellier (W)
Our model43%27%29%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nantes (W)Montpellier (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.61.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.24.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantes (W) 1–2–1 Montpellier (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
France Division 1 Women
Nantes (W)2-2
HT 2-0
Montpellier (W)
06/12/25
France Division 1 Women
Montpellier (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Nantes (W)
22/03/25
France Division 1 Women
Nantes (W)2-2
HT 1-0
Montpellier (W)
15/11/24
France Division 1 Women
Montpellier (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Nantes (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon (W) 3300 2239
2 PSG (W) 3300 509
3 Marseille (W) 3210 317
4 Paris FC (W) 3201 576
5 Montpellier (W) 3111 524
6 FC Fleury 91 (W) 3111 484
7 Strasbourg (W) 3102 363
8 Le Havre (W) 3102 3103
9 Saint Malo (W) 3102 353
10 Lens (W) 3012 361
11 Toulouse (W) 3012 491
12 Nantes (W) 3012 141

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNantes (W)Montpellier (W)
PSG (W) 0-1 L 2-3 L
Paris FC (W) 0-2 L 0-2 L
Lyon (W) 0-8 L 1-3 L
Marseille (W) 2-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantes (W)

WWLWDDLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-1 16 L
12/09 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
06/09 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 0-2 35 L
16/05 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-8 13 L
06/05 Le Havre (W)
France Division 1 Women
2-1 3-3 30 D
29/04 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-1 53 D
22/04 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 24 W
28/03 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 1-2 84 L
22/03 Strasbourg (W)
France Division 1 Women
3-0 3-0 23 W
11/03 FC Fleury 91 (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-0 76 W

Montpellier (W)

DLLWLWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
12/09 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-1 0-1 72 L
05/09 Toulouse (W)
France Division 1 Women
5-0 5-1 14 W
06/05 Lyon (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 1-3 33 L
25/04 St Etienne (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 1-0 25 W
22/04 Paris FC (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-0 0-2 –– L
28/03 Marseille (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-0 2-1 35 W
22/03 PSG (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-1 2-3 54 L
11/03 Lens (W)
France Division 1 Women
1-2 1-2 17 L
21/02 Nantes (W)
France Division 1 Women
0-2 2-2 69 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantes (W) vs Montpellier (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantes (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Nantes (W) 43%, draw 27%, Montpellier (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Nantes (W) vs Montpellier (W)?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Nantes (W) 1.55 · Montpellier (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantes (W) vs Montpellier (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.