Prediction: Strasbourg (W) vs Marseille (W)
Team pages: Strasbourg (W) · Marseille (W)
- Strasbourg (W)2-4Marseille (W)
- Marseille (W)0-0Strasbourg (W)
- Marseille (W)2-0Strasbourg (W)
| Strasbourg (W) | Draw | Marseille (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marseille (W) (rating 1426 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Marseille (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strasbourg (W) | Marseille (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg (W) 0–1–2 Marseille (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Marseille (W) |
| 31/10/25 France Division 1 Women | Marseille (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 17/12/23 France Division 2 Women | Marseille (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Strasbourg (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | PSG (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Marseille (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Paris FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Montpellier (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Fleury 91 (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | Le Havre (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Saint Malo (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 | Toulouse (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 | Nantes (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strasbourg (W) | Marseille (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PSG (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Le Havre (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Lyon (W) | 2-2 D | 2-6 L |
| Nantes (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Marseille (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strasbourg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Saint Malo (W) France Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | FC Fleury 91 (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/03 | Paris FC (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/02 | St Etienne (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Marseille (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lens (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Nantes (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Montpellier (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Le Havre (W) France Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/03 | PSG (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/02 | Lyon (W) France Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strasbourg (W) vs Marseille (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Marseille (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Strasbourg (W) 30%, draw 28%, Marseille (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg (W) vs Marseille (W)?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Strasbourg (W) 1.18 · Marseille (W) 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg (W) vs Marseille (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.