Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Copenhagen (W) vs Brondby (W)

Team pages: FC Copenhagen (W) · Brondby (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

FC Copenhagen (W)1.08

Brondby (W)2.95

1X2

10% 15% 75%

FC Copenhagen (W) Draw Brondby (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Copenhagen (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLLL

Brondby (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Copenhagen (W) 1–0 Brondby (W) (1 last)

Brondby (W)1-3FC Copenhagen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Copenhagen (W) 1431 · Brondby (W) 1595

	FC Copenhagen (W)	Draw	Brondby (W)
Our model	10%	15%	75%
Market	10%	15%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brondby (W) (rating 1431 vs 1595).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Copenhagen (W)	Brondby (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 2.1	1.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.2	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.00

X6.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.90

2 (-2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Pinn 10.85
X	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 7.60 ★
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +57’	9.00	6.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +1’	11.46	7.89	1.13
16:10 +151’	10.88▼	7.63▼	1.13▲
22:00 +6’	11.05▲	7.70▲	1.13▼
01:45 +42’	10.85▼	7.60▼	1.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Copenhagen (W) 1–0–0 Brondby (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Brondby (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Copenhagen (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	9	8	0	1	28	9	24
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	9	6	2	1	30	10	20
3	Brondby (W)	9	5	2	2	23	7	17
4	Midtjylland (W)	9	5	2	2	15	12	17
5	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	9	4	2	3	20	12	14
6	ASA Aarhus (W)	9	3	1	5	11	19	10
7	Odense BK (W)	9	3	1	5	6	18	10
8	Kolding IF (W)	9	3	0	6	18	28	9
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	9	2	0	7	11	31	6
10	AGF (W)	9	1	0	8	6	22	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Copenhagen (W)	Brondby (W)
Midtjylland (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kolding IF (W)	2-6 L	5-0 W
AGF (W)	2-4 L	3-0 W
ASA Aarhus (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
FC Nordsjaelland (W)	1-9 L	1-1 D
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	1-4 L	4-0 W
Odense BK (W)	1-2 L	4-0 W
HB Koge (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brondby (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Copenhagen (W)

WLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
20/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-5	2-6	2	0	L
12/09	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	2-4	10	3	L
05/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
23/08	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-6	1-9	6	2	L
15/08	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-4	4	0	L
01/08	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
28/07	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
04/04	FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	5-0	7	2	W

Brondby (W)

WDDWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	3-0	10	0	W
19/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	4-0	7	2	W
12/09	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
08/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	4-0	5-0	6	2	W
29/08	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
19/08	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
16/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
01/08	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
25/07	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
13/06	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Copenhagen (W) vs Brondby (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brondby (W) win (75%). Probabilities: FC Copenhagen (W) 10%, draw 15%, Brondby (W) 75%.

How many goals are expected in FC Copenhagen (W) vs Brondby (W)?

The model expects 4.03 goals (FC Copenhagen (W) 1.08 · Brondby (W) 2.95), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Copenhagen (W) vs Brondby (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.