Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 26/09, 13:00
Prediction: HB Koge (W) vs Kolding IF (W)
Team pages: HB Koge (W) · Kolding IF (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
HB Koge (W)3.15
Kolding IF (W)1.15
1X2
HB Koge (W)
Draw
Kolding IF (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
HB Koge (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Kolding IF (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Koge (W)
5–1–0
Kolding IF (W)
(6 last)
- HB Koge (W)3-1Kolding IF (W)
- Kolding IF (W)0-2HB Koge (W)
- HB Koge (W)6-1Kolding IF (W)
- Kolding IF (W)1-2HB Koge (W)
- HB Koge (W)2-2Kolding IF (W)
- HB Koge (W)5-0Kolding IF (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HB Koge (W) 1617 · Kolding IF (W) 1460
| HB Koge (W) | Draw | Kolding IF (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 80% | 13% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Koge (W) (rating 1617 vs 1460).
- H2H favours HB Koge (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Koge (W) | Kolding IF (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 9 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Koge (W) 5–1–0 Kolding IF (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Kolding IF (W) |
| 24/04/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Kolding IF (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | HB Koge (W) |
| 01/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Kolding IF (W) |
| 05/09/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Kolding IF (W) | 1-2 | HB Koge (W) |
| 01/02/25 Women’s Friendly | HB Koge (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Kolding IF (W) |
| 20/10/24 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | HB Koge (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Kolding IF (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Brondby (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Midtjylland (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 7 | Kolding IF (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 9 |
| 8 | Odense BK (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Koge (W) | Kolding IF (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 2-1 W | 2-6 L |
| FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 4-6 L | 0-4 L |
| AGF (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Brondby (W) | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Odense BK (W) | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| ASA Aarhus (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Copenhagen (W) | 3-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Koge (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 23 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Kolding IF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
5-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/09 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-3 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Koge (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Koge (W) win (78%). Probabilities: HB Koge (W) 78%, draw 13%, Kolding IF (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in HB Koge (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?
The model expects 4.29 goals (HB Koge (W) 3.15 · Kolding IF (W) 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Koge (W) vs Kolding IF (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.