Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 26/09, 13:00
Prediction: Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Team pages: Fortuna Hjørring (W) · FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Fortuna Hjørring (W)1.36
FC Nordsjaelland (W)2.02
1X2
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Draw
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
1–4–1
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
(6 last)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)1-0FC Nordsjaelland (W)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)2-0Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- FC Nordsjaelland (W)2-2Fortuna Hjørring (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)0-0FC Nordsjaelland (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)0-0FC Nordsjaelland (W)
- Fortuna Hjørring (W)0-0FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1538 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1602
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (W) (rating 1538 vs 1602).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortuna Hjørring (W) | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 3.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1–4–1 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
| 25/04/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 18/10/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) |
| 16/08/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
| 14/06/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
| 17/05/25 Denmark Cup Women | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HB Koge (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Brondby (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Midtjylland (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 7 | Kolding IF (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 9 |
| 8 | Odense BK (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortuna Hjørring (W) | FC Nordsjaelland (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brondby (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| HB Koge (W) | 1-2 L | 6-4 W |
| Odense BK (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| ASA Aarhus (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| AGF (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Copenhagen (W) | 4-1 W | 9-1 W |
| Midtjylland (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Kolding IF (W) | 6-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Nordsjaelland (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortuna Hjørring (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
3-1 | 6-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
FC Nordsjaelland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
2-2 | 6-4 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
6-0 | 9-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Fortuna Hjørring (W) 25%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1.36 · FC Nordsjaelland (W) 2.02), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Nordsjaelland (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.