Football · Germany 3. Liga · 10/10, 16:30

Prediction: MSV Duisburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Team pages: MSV Duisburg · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

MSV Duisburg1.97

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1.37

1X2

50% 24% 26%

MSV Duisburg Draw TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MSV Duisburg 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWLWW

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLDWW

Head-to-head

MSV Duisburg 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II (2 last)

MSV Duisburg3-1TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II4-1MSV Duisburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSV Duisburg	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.1	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.70
X	4.18 → 4.18	Pinn 4.18
2	4.07 → 4.07	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:04 +407’	1.70	4.18	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSV Duisburg 1–0–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany 3. Liga	MSV Duisburg	3-1 HT 1-1	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
21/11/25 Germany 3. Liga	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	4-1 HT 4-0	MSV Duisburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	14
4	Saarbrucken	7	4	1	2	19	12	13
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
8	SC Preussen Munster	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	10
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
12	SC Fortuna Köln	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	8
14	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
15	VfB Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	6
18	Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	5
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	7	1	1	5	10	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSV Duisburg	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Wehen SV	4-1 W	0-2 L
Fortuna Dusseldorf	1-2 L	2-0 W
Jahn Regensburg	2-1 W	5-1 W
SV Meppen	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSV Duisburg

WDDWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	3-1	4-1	8	3	W
15/09	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
12/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	9	W
29/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	7	W
15/08	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-2	11	5	W
08/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	10	4	W
16/05	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	13	4	D
08/05	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
03/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	5	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

LWLLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
13/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	9	8	L
29/08	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
15/08	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
09/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
16/05	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/05	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	4	1	W
02/05	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSV Duisburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSV Duisburg win (50%). Probabilities: MSV Duisburg 50%, draw 24%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 26%.

How many goals are expected in MSV Duisburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model expects 3.34 goals (MSV Duisburg 1.97 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MSV Duisburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.