Football · Germany 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen SV

Team pages: Jahn Regensburg · Wehen SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Jahn Regensburg1.65

Wehen SV1.47

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Jahn Regensburg Draw Wehen SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Jahn Regensburg 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Wehen SV 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jahn Regensburg 3–2–1 Wehen SV (6 last)

Jahn Regensburg2-1Wehen SV
Wehen SV2-0Jahn Regensburg
Wehen SV1-2Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg2-2Wehen SV
Wehen SV0-0Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg1-0Wehen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jahn Regensburg 1459 · Wehen SV 1430

	Jahn Regensburg	Draw	Wehen SV
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jahn Regensburg: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jahn Regensburg	Wehen SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +10’	2.20	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jahn Regensburg 3–2–1 Wehen SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	2-1 HT 1-0	Wehen SV
16/09/25 Germany 3. Liga	Wehen SV	2-0 HT 0-0	Jahn Regensburg
28/05/24 Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	Wehen SV	1-2 HT 0-1	Jahn Regensburg
24/05/24 Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	Jahn Regensburg	2-2 HT 1-0	Wehen SV
23/12/20 Germany DFB Pokal	Wehen SV	0-0 HT 0-0	Jahn Regensburg
15/02/20 Germany Bundesliga II	Jahn Regensburg	1-0 HT 0-0	Wehen SV

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22	9	21
2	FC Viktoria Köln	8	6	0	2	24	11	18
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	8	4	3	1	16	12	15
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17	15	15
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19	12	14
6	Waldhof Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
6	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
8	SC Preussen Munster	8	3	3	2	15	16	12
9	Alemannia Aachen	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	8	9	11
11	Verl	8	3	2	3	12	15	11
12	SC Fortuna Köln	8	2	4	2	8	8	10
13	Jahn Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18	17	8
14	VfB Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13	16	8
15	FC Ingolstadt	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
15	Wehen SV	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
17	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
18	Wurzburger Kickers	8	2	1	5	11	17	7
19	SV Meppen	8	2	1	5	9	16	7
20	TSV Havelse	8	1	1	6	10	20	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jahn Regensburg	Wehen SV
MSV Duisburg	1-2 L	1-4 L
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	1-5 L	2-0 W
Cottbus	0-1 L	1-2 L
Waldhof Mannheim	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	3	3	W
19/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	3-2	3-3	4	5	D
15/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
05/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
29/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W
16/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	6	L

Wehen SV

LWLLDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	4-2	10	5	W
20/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
16/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	1	7	W
13/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
29/08	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
08/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	7	7	L
16/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
09/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jahn Regensburg win (41%). Probabilities: Jahn Regensburg 41%, draw 26%, Wehen SV 33%.

How many goals are expected in Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen SV?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Jahn Regensburg 1.65 · Wehen SV 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen SV?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.