Football · Germany 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

Team pages: Alemannia Aachen · Hansa Rostock

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Alemannia Aachen1.77

Hansa Rostock1.8

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Alemannia Aachen Draw Hansa Rostock

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Alemannia Aachen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Hansa Rostock 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Alemannia Aachen 2–2–0 Hansa Rostock (4 last)

Alemannia Aachen1-1Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock2-2Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen2-1Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock1-2Alemannia Aachen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alemannia Aachen 1529 · Hansa Rostock 1509

	Alemannia Aachen	Draw	Hansa Rostock
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alemannia Aachen: 2-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alemannia Aachen	Hansa Rostock
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.2	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	5.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +56’	2.45	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alemannia Aachen 2–2–0 Hansa Rostock

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	1-1 HT 0-1	Hansa Rostock
07/12/25 Germany 3. Liga	Hansa Rostock	2-2 HT 1-1	Alemannia Aachen
16/03/25 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	2-1 HT 0-0	Hansa Rostock
19/10/24 Germany 3. Liga	Hansa Rostock	1-2 HT 1-1	Alemannia Aachen

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	9	8	0	1	26	11	24
2	FC Viktoria Köln	8	6	0	2	24	11	18
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	9	5	3	1	18	12	18
4	Hansa Rostock	9	4	3	2	17	17	15
5	Saarbrucken	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
6	Waldhof Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
7	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	9	4	1	4	18	14	13
8	SC Preussen Munster	8	3	3	2	15	16	12
9	Alemannia Aachen	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	8	9	11
11	VfB Stuttgart II	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
12	Verl	8	3	2	3	12	15	11
13	SC Fortuna Köln	9	2	4	3	8	10	10
14	SV Meppen	9	3	1	5	11	16	10
15	Jahn Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18	17	8
16	Wurzburger Kickers	9	2	2	5	13	19	8
17	FC Ingolstadt	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
17	Wehen SV	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
19	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
20	TSV Havelse	9	1	2	6	12	22	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alemannia Aachen	Hansa Rostock
FC Viktoria Köln	2-5 L	0-4 L
Wurzburger Kickers	0-1 L	2-0 W
SV Meppen	0-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hansa Rostock (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alemannia Aachen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-4	2-5	8	3	L
19/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
12/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
29/08	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	6	L
15/08	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/08	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-1	1	2	W
16/05	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-0	6-1	7	4	W
10/05	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	4	3	W

Hansa Rostock

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
10/10	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	6	W
20/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
16/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
11/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
05/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	12	7	D
30/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-0	4-2	4	7	W
16/08	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	5	8	D
09/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	2-2	3-2	4	3	W
16/05	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	2-0	4-3	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hansa Rostock win (38%). Probabilities: Alemannia Aachen 37%, draw 25%, Hansa Rostock 38%.

How many goals are expected in Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Alemannia Aachen 1.77 · Hansa Rostock 1.8), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.