Football · Germany 3. Liga · 14/10, 19:00

Prediction: Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt

Team pages: Waldhof Mannheim · FC Ingolstadt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Waldhof Mannheim2.07

FC Ingolstadt1.35

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Waldhof Mannheim Draw FC Ingolstadt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Waldhof Mannheim 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Ingolstadt 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLWLL

Head-to-head

Waldhof Mannheim 0–4–2 FC Ingolstadt (6 last)

FC Ingolstadt5-1Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim2-2FC Ingolstadt
Waldhof Mannheim0-0FC Ingolstadt
FC Ingolstadt2-1Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt1-1Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim1-1FC Ingolstadt

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waldhof Mannheim (rating 1500 vs 1447).
H2H favours FC Ingolstadt: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Waldhof Mannheim	FC Ingolstadt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.4	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.86

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 2.06▲	Pinn 2.06
X	3.89 → 3.87▼	Pinn 3.87
2	3.14 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +21’	2.03	3.89	3.14
16:41 +64’	2.06▲	3.87▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Waldhof Mannheim 0–4–2 FC Ingolstadt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	5-1 HT 2-0	Waldhof Mannheim
20/12/25 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Ingolstadt
19/01/25 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Ingolstadt
04/08/24 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	2-1 HT 1-0	Waldhof Mannheim
05/05/24 Germany 3. Liga	FC Ingolstadt	1-1 HT 0-0	Waldhof Mannheim
02/12/23 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Ingolstadt

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22	9	21
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	8	4	3	1	16	12	15
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17	15	15
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19	12	14
6	Waldhof Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
6	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16	11	13
8	SC Preussen Munster	8	3	3	2	15	16	12
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
10	SC Fortuna Köln	8	2	4	2	8	8	10
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
13	Jahn Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18	17	8
14	VfB Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13	16	8
15	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7	14	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	8	2	1	5	11	17	7
18	SV Meppen	8	2	1	5	9	16	7
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	8	1	1	6	10	20	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Waldhof Mannheim	FC Ingolstadt
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	5-1 W	2-0 W
SC Preussen Munster	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Waldhof Mannheim (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Waldhof Mannheim

WLWDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
20/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
05/09	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-3	5	7	L
16/08	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	2	8	D
07/08	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
16/05	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
09/05	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

FC Ingolstadt

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	5	L
16/09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
12/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
04/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	1	4	L
29/08	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
15/08	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
08/08	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	4	3	D
16/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
09/05	1860 Munich Germany 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/05	Erzgebirge Aue Germany 3. Liga	3-1	3-5	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Waldhof Mannheim win (53%). Probabilities: Waldhof Mannheim 53%, draw 23%, FC Ingolstadt 24%.

How many goals are expected in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Waldhof Mannheim 2.07 · FC Ingolstadt 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.