Football · Kyrgyzstan Top Liga · 10/07, 16:30

Prediction: FC Bishkek City vs Muras United FC

Expected goals: 2.79 (FC Bishkek City 1 · Muras United FC 1.79). The model gives 20% home, 24% draw, 55% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, FC Bishkek City is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Muras United FC 7-2-1 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, FC Bishkek City won 0 and Muras United FC 1.

55%2
20% 24% 55%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bishkek City 1484 · Muras United FC 1579
FC Bishkek CityDrawMuras United FC
Our model20%25%55%
Market21%24%56%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.79FC Bishkek City 1 · Muras United FC 1.79
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Muras United FC (rating 1484 vs 1579).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Bishkek CityMuras United FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.32.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.72.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.24 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bishkek City 001 Muras United FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/04/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Bishkek City0-1
HT 0-0
Muras United FC

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Bishkek CityMuras United FC
FC Asiagoal 1-0 W 6-2 W
FK Kyrgyzaltyn 2-0 W 2-1 W
FC Dordoi Bishkek 3-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Bishkek City

LDLLWDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Toktogul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 1-1 54 D
22/06 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-0 37 W
27/05 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-3 23 L
15/05 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 2-0 34 W
09/05 FC Talant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 24 D
13/03 FC Dordoi Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 3-1 53 W
03/03 FC Bars Issyk-Kul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 1-2 71 L
25/10 FC Dordoi Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-2 0-3 41 L
10/10 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-1 23 D
20/09 OshMU Aldier
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 410 L

Muras United FC

WDWDWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/05 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 2-0 75 W
22/04 Al Kuwait SC
AFC Challenge League
1-1 1-2 83 L
19/04 Al Ansar Beirut
AFC Challenge League
2-0 3-0 54 W
15/04 FC Dordoi Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 2-0 41 W
23/03 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 2-1 77 W
14/03 FC Abdysh-Ata Kant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 2-1 36 W
31/10 Al Arabi SC
AFC Challenge League
0-1 1-1 76 D
28/10 Safa Beirut
AFC Challenge League
1-0 2-0 34 W
25/10 Regar Tadaz
AFC Challenge League
0-0 0-0 44 D
16/10 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
4-1 6-2 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bishkek City vs Muras United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Muras United FC win (55%). Probabilities: FC Bishkek City 20%, draw 24%, Muras United FC 55%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bishkek City vs Muras United FC?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FC Bishkek City 1 · Muras United FC 1.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bishkek City vs Muras United FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.