Prediction: FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek
Expected goals: 2.69 (FK Alga 1.49 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1.2). The model gives 43% home, 27% draw, 29% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, FK Alga is 7-3-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Dordoi Bishkek 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Alga won 0 and FC Dordoi Bishkek 5, with 1 draw.
| FK Alga | Draw | FC Dordoi Bishkek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Alga (rating 1569 vs 1510).
- H2H favours FC Dordoi Bishkek: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Alga | FC Dordoi Bishkek | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Alga 0–1–5 FC Dordoi Bishkek
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/25 Kyrgyzstan Top Liga | FK Alga | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Dordoi Bishkek |
| 29/06/25 Kyrgyzstan Cup | FK Alga | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Dordoi Bishkek |
| 11/03/25 Kyrgyzstan Top Liga | FC Dordoi Bishkek | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FK Alga |
| 30/10/24 Kyrgyzstan Top Liga | FK Alga | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Dordoi Bishkek |
| 16/08/24 Kyrgyzstan Top Liga | FC Dordoi Bishkek | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Alga |
| 22/04/24 Kyrgyzstan Top Liga | FK Alga | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Dordoi Bishkek |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Alga | FC Dordoi Bishkek |
|---|---|---|
| FC Bars Issyk-Kul | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Bishkek City | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FK Kyrgyzaltyn | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Ilbirs | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Alga (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Alga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | FC Bars Issyk-Kul Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Alay Kyrgyzstan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Bishkek City Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | FK Kyrgyzaltyn Kyrgyzstan Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Alay Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Asia Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 21/04 | FK Kyrgyzaltyn Kyrgyzstan Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | FK Kyrgyzaltyn Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/04 | Neftchi Kochkor Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Ilbirs Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
FC Dordoi Bishkek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FK Kyrgyzaltyn Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Ilbirs Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Ozgon Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Talant Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Toktogul Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/04 | Muras United FC Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | FC Bars Issyk-Kul Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 13/03 | FC Bishkek City Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Asiagoal Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | FC Bishkek City Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Alga win (43%). Probabilities: FK Alga 43%, draw 27%, FC Dordoi Bishkek 29%.
How many goals are expected in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?
The model expects 2.69 goals (FK Alga 1.49 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

