Football · Kyrgyzstan Top Liga · 08/07, 16:30

Prediction: FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek

Expected goals: 2.69 (FK Alga 1.49 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1.2). The model gives 43% home, 27% draw, 29% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, FK Alga is 7-3-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Dordoi Bishkek 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Alga won 0 and FC Dordoi Bishkek 5, with 1 draw.

43%1
43% 27% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Alga 1569 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1510
FK AlgaDrawFC Dordoi Bishkek
Our model43%28%29%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.69FK Alga 1.49 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1.2
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Alga (rating 1569 vs 1510).
  • H2H favours FC Dordoi Bishkek: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK AlgaFC Dordoi Bishkek
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.81.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.20.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.91.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Alga 015 FC Dordoi Bishkek

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/10/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Alga1-3
HT 1-1
FC Dordoi Bishkek
29/06/25
Kyrgyzstan Cup
FK Alga1-3
HT 0-1
FC Dordoi Bishkek
11/03/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek3-1
HT 2-0
FK Alga
30/10/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Alga0-1
HT 0-1
FC Dordoi Bishkek
16/08/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek2-0
HT 2-0
FK Alga
22/04/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Alga1-1
HT 0-1
FC Dordoi Bishkek

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK AlgaFC Dordoi Bishkek
FC Bars Issyk-Kul 3-1 W 1-2 L
FC Bishkek City 3-1 W 1-3 L
FK Kyrgyzaltyn 2-1 W 2-1 W
FC Ilbirs 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Alga (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Alga

DWWWDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/06 FC Bars Issyk-Kul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 3-1 64 W
17/06 FK Alay
Kyrgyzstan Cup
0-0 1-0 26 W
27/05 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 3-1 53 W
19/05 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Cup
1-0 2-1 73 W
09/05 FK Alay
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 47 D
03/05 FC Asia
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 2-2 66 D
21/04 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Cup
2-0 4-0 41 W
17/04 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
3-0 3-0 61 W
10/04 Neftchi Kochkor
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
2-0 2-1 21 W
03/04 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 2-2 76 D

FC Dordoi Bishkek

WDLLLWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 FK Kyrgyzaltyn
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 2-1 42 W
13/06 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-1 55 D
16/05 FC Ozgon
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 15 L
26/04 FC Talant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 2-1 35 W
19/04 Toktogul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
2-0 2-0 45 W
15/04 Muras United FC
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-2 31 L
05/04 FC Bars Issyk-Kul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-2 68 L
13/03 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-3 33 L
08/03 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 62 D
25/10 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
2-0 3-0 51 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Alga win (43%). Probabilities: FK Alga 43%, draw 27%, FC Dordoi Bishkek 29%.

How many goals are expected in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

The model expects 2.69 goals (FK Alga 1.49 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Alga vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.