Football · Kyrgyzstan Top Liga · 02/07, 16:30

Prediction: FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Dordoi Bishkek

Expected goals: 2.83 (FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.79 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 2.05). The model gives 13% home, 21% draw, 66% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.

On recent form, FK Kyrgyzaltyn is 0-1-9 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Dordoi Bishkek 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for FK Kyrgyzaltyn and 4 for FC Dordoi Bishkek, with 2 draws.

66%2
13% 21% 66%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kyrgyzaltyn 1384 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 1497
FK KyrgyzaltynDrawFC Dordoi Bishkek
Our model12%22%66%
Market13%21%66%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.83FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.79 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 2.05
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 50%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dordoi Bishkek (rating 1384 vs 1497).
  • H2H favours FC Dordoi Bishkek: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK KyrgyzaltynFC Dordoi Bishkek
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.61.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.30.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.61.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyrgyzaltyn 024 FC Dordoi Bishkek

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek1-1
HT 0-0
FK Kyrgyzaltyn
30/09/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek0-0
HT 0-0
FK Kyrgyzaltyn
15/06/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek1-0
HT 0-0
FK Kyrgyzaltyn
10/05/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Kyrgyzaltyn1-4
HT 0-4
FC Dordoi Bishkek
05/05/24
Kyrgyzstan Cup
FK Kyrgyzaltyn1-3
HT 0-2
FC Dordoi Bishkek
29/09/23
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Dordoi Bishkek2-1
HT 0-1
FK Kyrgyzaltyn

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK KyrgyzaltynFC Dordoi Bishkek
FC Bishkek City 0-2 L 1-3 L
FC Asiagoal 1-3 L 0-0 D
Muras United FC 1-2 L 0-2 L
FC Ilbirs 0-2 L 1-1 D
FC Ozgon 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kyrgyzaltyn

LLLLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 FC Abdysh-Ata Kant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 2-2 62 D
19/05 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Cup
0-1 1-2 33 L
15/05 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-2 34 L
03/05 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-2 1-3 74 L
26/04 FC Asia
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 3-4 65 L
21/04 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Cup
0-2 0-4 41 L
17/04 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-3 0-3 51 L
23/03 Muras United FC
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-2 47 L
18/03 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 50 L
06/03 FC Ozgon
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-2 1-2 33 L

FC Dordoi Bishkek

WWDLLLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/06 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-1 55 D
16/05 FC Ozgon
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 15 L
26/04 FC Talant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 2-1 35 W
19/04 Toktogul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
2-0 2-0 45 W
15/04 Muras United FC
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-2 31 L
05/04 FC Bars Issyk-Kul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-2 68 L
13/03 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-3 33 L
08/03 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 62 D
25/10 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
2-0 3-0 51 W
19/10 FC Talant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 2-0 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Dordoi Bishkek win (66%). Probabilities: FK Kyrgyzaltyn 13%, draw 21%, FC Dordoi Bishkek 66%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

The model expects 2.83 goals (FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.79 · FC Dordoi Bishkek 2.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Dordoi Bishkek?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.