Football · Kyrgyzstan Top Liga · 07/07, 16:30

Prediction: FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant

Expected goals: 2.34 (FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.93 · FC Talant 1.41). The model gives 24% home, 28% draw, 48% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, FK Kyrgyzaltyn sits at 0-1-9 (W-D-L), while FC Talant arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for FK Kyrgyzaltyn and 4 for FC Talant, with 1 draw.

48%2
24% 28% 48%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kyrgyzaltyn 1376 · FC Talant 1475
FK KyrgyzaltynDrawFC Talant
Our model24%30%47%
Market25%27%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.34FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.93 · FC Talant 1.41
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Talant (rating 1376 vs 1475).
  • H2H favours FC Talant: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK KyrgyzaltynFC Talant
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.60.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.20.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.63 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyrgyzaltyn 114 FC Talant

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Talant2-0
HT 1-0
FK Kyrgyzaltyn
22/06/25
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Kyrgyzaltyn0-2
HT 0-0
FC Talant
02/11/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Kyrgyzaltyn1-0
HT 0-0
FC Talant
10/08/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Kyrgyzaltyn1-1
HT 1-0
FC Talant
14/05/24
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FC Talant3-0
HT 1-0
FK Kyrgyzaltyn
15/09/23
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
FK Kyrgyzaltyn0-1
HT 0-0
FC Talant

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK KyrgyzaltynFC Talant
FC Dordoi Bishkek 1-2 L 1-2 L
FC Abdysh-Ata Kant 2-2 D 0-2 L
FC Bishkek City 0-2 L 0-0 D
FC Asia 3-4 L 2-3 L
FC Ilbirs 0-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Talant (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kyrgyzaltyn

LLLLLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 FC Dordoi Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 1-2 32 L
21/06 FC Abdysh-Ata Kant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 2-2 62 D
19/05 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Cup
0-1 1-2 33 L
15/05 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-2 34 L
03/05 FC Asiagoal
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-2 1-3 74 L
26/04 FC Asia
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 3-4 65 L
21/04 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Cup
0-2 0-4 41 L
17/04 FK Alga
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-3 0-3 51 L
23/03 Muras United FC
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-0 1-2 47 L
18/03 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 50 L

FC Talant

LWLWDDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Neftchi Kochkor
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
1-1 1-1 42 D
20/06 FC Ilbirs
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 82 D
12/06 FK Alay
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-2 1-2 76 L
21/05 FC Asia
Kyrgyzstan Cup
1-1 2-3 54 L
17/05 OshMU Aldier
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-1 69 D
09/05 FC Bishkek City
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 0-0 54 D
01/05 Toktogul
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-0 1-0 34 W
26/04 FC Dordoi Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 1-2 45 L
22/04 FC Asia
Kyrgyzstan Cup
1-0 1-0 00 W
18/04 FC Abdysh-Ata Kant
Kyrgyzstan Top Liga
0-1 0-2 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Talant win (48%). Probabilities: FK Kyrgyzaltyn 24%, draw 28%, FC Talant 48%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant?

The model expects 2.34 goals (FK Kyrgyzaltyn 0.93 · FC Talant 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kyrgyzaltyn vs FC Talant?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.