Football · Germany 3. Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Jahn Regensburg vs TSV Havelse

Team pages: Jahn Regensburg · TSV Havelse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Jahn Regensburg2.39

TSV Havelse1.58

1X2

55% 21% 24%

Jahn Regensburg Draw TSV Havelse

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Jahn Regensburg 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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TSV Havelse 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jahn Regensburg 2–0 TSV Havelse (2 last)

Jahn Regensburg5-2TSV Havelse
TSV Havelse1-2Jahn Regensburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jahn Regensburg (rating 1466 vs 1399).
H2H favours Jahn Regensburg: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jahn Regensburg	TSV Havelse
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.61
X	4.54 → 4.48▼	Pinn 4.48
2	4.49 → 4.35▼	Pinn 4.35

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +1’	1.59	4.54	4.49
11:56 +38’	1.61▲	4.48▼	4.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jahn Regensburg 2–0–0 TSV Havelse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Germany 3. Liga	Jahn Regensburg	5-2 HT 2-0	TSV Havelse
19/10/25 Germany 3. Liga	TSV Havelse	1-2 HT 1-1	Jahn Regensburg

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	7	6	0	1	19	7	18
2	FC Viktoria Köln	7	5	0	2	19	9	15
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	7	4	2	1	13	9	14
4	Saarbrucken	7	4	1	2	19	12	13
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Hansa Rostock	7	3	3	1	15	15	12
7	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
8	SC Preussen Munster	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Waldhof Mannheim	7	3	1	3	11	10	10
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
11	Verl	7	3	1	3	10	13	10
12	SC Fortuna Köln	7	2	3	2	8	8	9
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	7	2	2	3	6	9	8
14	FC Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
15	VfB Stuttgart II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
17	SV Meppen	7	2	0	5	8	15	6
18	Jahn Regensburg	7	1	2	4	13	17	5
19	Wehen SV	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
20	TSV Havelse	7	1	1	5	10	15	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jahn Regensburg	TSV Havelse
VfB Stuttgart II	3-3 D	2-3 L
Alemannia Aachen	2-2 D	1-6 L
MSV Duisburg	1-2 L	1-2 L
Waldhof Mannheim	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jahn Regensburg (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jahn Regensburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	3-2	3-3	4	5	D
15/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
05/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
29/08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
16/08	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-0	5-2	0	6	W
16/05	Cottbus Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
09/05	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
02/05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	4	W

TSV Havelse

LWLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
15/09	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
12/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
05/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
30/08	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-2	3-2	5	7	W
15/08	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
08/08	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
16/05	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	1-6	3	4	L
10/05	Schweinfurt 05 Germany 3. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	4	W
02/05	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jahn Regensburg vs TSV Havelse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jahn Regensburg win (55%). Probabilities: Jahn Regensburg 55%, draw 21%, TSV Havelse 24%.

How many goals are expected in Jahn Regensburg vs TSV Havelse?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Jahn Regensburg 2.39 · TSV Havelse 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jahn Regensburg vs TSV Havelse?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.