Football · South Korea K4 League · 11/07, 10:00

Prediction: Seoul Jungnang FC vs Gijang United

Expected goals: 2.81 (Seoul Jungnang FC 1.66 · Gijang United 1.16). The model gives 48% home, 26% draw, 26% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Seoul Jungnang FC with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Gijang United has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Seoul Jungnang FC and 2 for Gijang United, with 1 draw.

48%1
48% 26% 26%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Jungnang FC 1455 · Gijang United 1481
Seoul Jungnang FCDrawGijang United
Our model48%27%25%
Market49%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.81Seoul Jungnang FC 1.66 · Gijang United 1.16
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 50%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gijang United: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Seoul Jungnang FCGijang United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.81.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.80.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.82 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.23 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Jungnang FC 112 Gijang United

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
South Korea K4 League
Gijang United0-1
HT 0-0
Seoul Jungnang FC
01/11/25
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC1-2
HT 0-0
Gijang United
20/07/25
South Korea K4 League
Gijang United1-0
HT 0-0
Seoul Jungnang FC
03/05/25
South Korea K4 League
Seoul Jungnang FC0-0
HT 0-0
Gijang United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSeoul Jungnang FCGijang United
Namyangju FC 1-3 L 2-1 W
Jecheon Citizen 1-2 L 1-1 D
Haman 2-1 W 3-1 W
Jincheon HR 0-0 D 0-2 L
Geoje Citizen FC 0-1 L 2-4 L
Sejong SA 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gijang United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul Jungnang FC

DLLDWLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea Cup
0-2 1-3 116 L
27/06 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 41 D
21/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-2 92 L
06/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 4-2 75 W
23/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 42 L
16/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 53 W
10/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 64 D
25/04 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 72 L
18/04 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-3 83 L
12/04 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-3 3-3 74 D

Gijang United

DWWLLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea Cup
1-2 1-2 43 L
28/06 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 12 D
20/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 133 W
07/06 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 66 L
30/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-3 2-4 21 L
27/05 Busan Trans Corp
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-3 23 L
24/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-2 2-4 22 L
17/05 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 43 W
09/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-1 34 W
02/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Gijang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seoul Jungnang FC win (48%). Probabilities: Seoul Jungnang FC 48%, draw 26%, Gijang United 26%.

How many goals are expected in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Gijang United?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Seoul Jungnang FC 1.66 · Gijang United 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Gijang United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.