Prediction: Sejong SA vs Jincheon HR
Expected goals: 3.11 (Sejong SA 1.33 · Jincheon HR 1.78). The model gives 28% home, 25% draw, 47% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Sejong SA with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Jincheon HR has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Sejong SA won 0 and Jincheon HR 1.
| Sejong SA | Draw | Jincheon HR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sejong SA | Jincheon HR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong SA 0–0–1 Jincheon HR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Jincheon HR | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Sejong SA |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sejong SA | Jincheon HR |
|---|---|---|
| Jinju Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 6-2 W |
| Namyangju FC | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Geumsan Insam | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Gijang United | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sejong SA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sejong SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Jincheon HR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Siheung City AC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
3-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sejong SA vs Jincheon HR?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Jincheon HR win (47%). Probabilities: Sejong SA 28%, draw 25%, Jincheon HR 47%.
How many goals are expected in Sejong SA vs Jincheon HR?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Sejong SA 1.33 · Jincheon HR 1.78), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sejong SA vs Jincheon HR?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.