Prediction: Jecheon Citizen vs Geumsan Insam
Expected goals: 2.68 (Jecheon Citizen 1.34 · Geumsan Insam 1.34). The model gives 36% home, 27% draw, 36% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Jecheon Citizen is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Geumsan Insam 3-4-3 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Jecheon Citizen and 0 for Geumsan Insam, with 1 draw.
| Jecheon Citizen | Draw | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jecheon Citizen | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jecheon Citizen 0–1–0 Geumsan Insam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Geumsan Insam | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jecheon Citizen |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jecheon Citizen | Geumsan Insam |
|---|---|---|
| Gijang United | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 3-2 W | 7-2 W |
| Geoje Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Haman | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Jincheon HR | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Geumsan Insam (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jecheon Citizen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gangneung City South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Geumsan Insam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Changwon City South Korea Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-2 | 7-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jecheon Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jecheon Citizen win (36%). Probabilities: Jecheon Citizen 36%, draw 27%, Geumsan Insam 36%.
How many goals are expected in Jecheon Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Jecheon Citizen 1.34 · Geumsan Insam 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jecheon Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.