Prediction: Pyeongchang United vs Geoje Citizen FC
Expected goals: 3.19 (Pyeongchang United 1.88 · Geoje Citizen FC 1.31). The model gives 50% home, 25% draw, 26% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Pyeongchang United sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while Geoje Citizen FC arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Pyeongchang United won 1 and Geoje Citizen FC 2, with 3 draws.
| Pyeongchang United | Draw | Geoje Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Geoje Citizen FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pyeongchang United | Geoje Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongchang United 1–3–2 Geoje Citizen FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 South Korea K4 League | Geoje Citizen FC | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Pyeongchang United |
| 21/09/25 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongchang United | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Geoje Citizen FC |
| 31/05/25 South Korea K4 League | Geoje Citizen FC | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Pyeongchang United |
| 01/03/25 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongchang United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Geoje Citizen FC |
| 30/03/24 South Korea K4 League | Geoje Citizen FC | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Pyeongchang United |
| 26/08/23 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongchang United | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Geoje Citizen FC |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pyeongchang United | Geoje Citizen FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sejong SA | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Namyangju FC | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Geumsan Insam | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Gijang United | 4-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Jinju Citizen FC | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pyeongchang United (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pyeongchang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | TNT Fitogether FC South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 28/06 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Geoje Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Incheon Seogot SM FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 06/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pyeongchang United vs Geoje Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyeongchang United win (50%). Probabilities: Pyeongchang United 50%, draw 25%, Geoje Citizen FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Pyeongchang United vs Geoje Citizen FC?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Pyeongchang United 1.88 · Geoje Citizen FC 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pyeongchang United vs Geoje Citizen FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.