Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: SSK Bilovec vs Frydek Mistek B

Team pages: SSK Bilovec · Frydek Mistek B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

SSK Bilovec1.84

Frydek Mistek B1.63

1X2

43% 24% 34%

SSK Bilovec Draw Frydek Mistek B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SSK Bilovec 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Frydek Mistek B 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSK Bilovec 1439 · Frydek Mistek B 1483

	SSK Bilovec	Draw	Frydek Mistek B
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek B (rating 1439 vs 1483).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSK Bilovec	Frydek Mistek B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.3	2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.8	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.90

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +4’	2.10	3.90	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSK Bilovec	Frydek Mistek B
Jiskra Rymarov	0-5 L	0-4 L
FC Vratimov	2-1 W	1-3 L
Hlucin	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bridlicna	1-3 L	4-2 W
FK Bohumin	0-5 L	1-2 L
SK Zabreh	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek B (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSK Bilovec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
11/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
04/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	18	4	W
04/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
23/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	2	2	L
16/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frydek Mistek B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	10	3	W
11/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
20/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	4	5	L
29/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
16/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSK Bilovec vs Frydek Mistek B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SSK Bilovec win (43%). Probabilities: SSK Bilovec 43%, draw 24%, Frydek Mistek B 34%.

How many goals are expected in SSK Bilovec vs Frydek Mistek B?

The model expects 3.46 goals (SSK Bilovec 1.84 · Frydek Mistek B 1.63), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SSK Bilovec vs Frydek Mistek B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.