Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Sokol Hostoun vs SK Steti

Team pages: Sokol Hostoun · SK Steti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Sokol Hostoun2.31

SK Steti1.28

1X2

60% 20% 20%

Sokol Hostoun Draw SK Steti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Hostoun 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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SK Steti 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Hostoun 1564 · SK Steti 1538

	Sokol Hostoun	Draw	SK Steti
Our model	59%	21%	19%
Market	60%	20%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Hostoun	SK Steti
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.7	2.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +17’	1.50	4.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
12	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Hostoun	SK Steti
Meteor Prague VIII	4-2 W	2-2 D
Chomutov	1-3 L	1-2 L
Banik Sokolov	1-2 L	1-3 L
SK Rapid Psary	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Usti nad Labem B	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Tempo Prague	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Hostoun (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Hostoun

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	6	4	W
18/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	7	6	L
10/10	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
20/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-1	10	4	W
12/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	7	3	W
29/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
22/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	7	W

SK Steti

WLLDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
17/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	4-1	1	5	W
10/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
13/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
05/09	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	3	6	L
30/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Hostoun vs SK Steti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Hostoun win (60%). Probabilities: Sokol Hostoun 60%, draw 20%, SK Steti 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Hostoun vs SK Steti?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Sokol Hostoun 2.31 · SK Steti 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Hostoun vs SK Steti?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.