Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs Velke Mezirici

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · Velke Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Zdar nad Sazavou2.14

Velke Mezirici1.53

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw Velke Mezirici

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLDW

Velke Mezirici 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 5–1 Velke Mezirici (6 last)

Zdar nad Sazavou0-3Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici1-2Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou6-0Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici0-3Zdar nad Sazavou
Velke Mezirici2-4Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou1-0Velke Mezirici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1451 · Velke Mezirici 1477

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	Velke Mezirici
Our model	51%	22%	27%
Market	51%	21%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zdar nad Sazavou: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Velke Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +5’	1.75	4.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 5–0–1 Velke Mezirici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	0-3 HT 0-2	Velke Mezirici
12/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	1-2 HT 0-1	Zdar nad Sazavou
09/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	6-0 HT 4-0	Velke Mezirici
04/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	0-3 HT 0-1	Zdar nad Sazavou
14/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-4 HT 2-2	Zdar nad Sazavou
10/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	12	10	0	2	40	15	30
2	Kravare	12	8	3	1	28	13	27
3	FC Vratimov	12	9	0	3	25	17	27
4	Hlucin	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	SK Zabreh	12	5	3	4	16	14	18
8	Jiskra Rymarov	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
9	SK Stonava	12	5	2	5	22	22	17
10	TJ Novy Jicin	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
11	FK Sumperk	13	3	5	5	17	19	14
12	Pusta Polom	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
13	Frydek Mistek B	12	4	1	7	23	27	13
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	12	2	3	7	9	26	9
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	12	1	0	11	13	44	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	Velke Mezirici
FK Pelhrimov	4-0 W	0-5 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-2 D	3-2 W
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sokol Tasovice	0-1 L	0-0 D
FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-2 D	0-2 L
FS Trebic	5-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zdar nad Sazavou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	3	D
10/10	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
04/10	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
26/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	13	4	L
13/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W

Velke Mezirici

DDWLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
17/10	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	2	5	L
11/10	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	4-4	2	3	D
03/10	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
27/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
20/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	5	W
28/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	2	5	D
21/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Velke Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zdar nad Sazavou win (51%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 51%, draw 22%, Velke Mezirici 27%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Velke Mezirici?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 2.14 · Velke Mezirici 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Velke Mezirici?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.