Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: SK Krumvir vs FC Brumov

Team pages: FC Brumov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

SK Krumvir1.97

FC Brumov1.45

1X2

49% 24% 28%

SK Krumvir Draw FC Brumov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Krumvir 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Brumov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Krumvir 1570 · FC Brumov 1498

	SK Krumvir	Draw	FC Brumov
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Krumvir (rating 1570 vs 1498).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Krumvir	FC Brumov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.6	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:46 +2’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Bridlicna	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Krumvir

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia Cup	0-0	0-3	2	3	L
08/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
26/07	SC Znojmo Czechia Cup	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
10/06	TJ Moravan Lednice Czechia 5. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
06/06	Tatran Kohoutovice Czechia 5. Liga	0-1	1-1	13	8	D
23/05	Bosonohy Czechia 5. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
09/05	SK Cezava Czechia 5. Liga	3-1	5-2	3	5	W
04/04	FC Moravsky Krumlov Czechia 5. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
23/08	AFK Tisnov Czechia 5. Liga	3-0	5-0	7	4	W

FC Brumov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
12/08	MFK Karvina Czechia Cup	0-1	0-4	0	5	L
09/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
25/07	Hluk Czechia Cup	1-0	3-2	3	4	W
13/06	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/06	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
09/05	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-5	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Krumvir vs FC Brumov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Krumvir win (49%). Probabilities: SK Krumvir 49%, draw 24%, FC Brumov 28%.

How many goals are expected in SK Krumvir vs FC Brumov?

The model expects 3.41 goals (SK Krumvir 1.97 · FC Brumov 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Krumvir vs FC Brumov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.