Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou vs FK Pelhrimov

Team pages: SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou · FK Pelhrimov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou2.02

FK Pelhrimov1.71

1X2

45% 23% 33%

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Draw FK Pelhrimov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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FK Pelhrimov 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 3–1–0 FK Pelhrimov (4 last)

FK Pelhrimov3-3SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou4-2FK Pelhrimov
FK Pelhrimov0-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou4-1FK Pelhrimov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1461 · FK Pelhrimov 1477

	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	Draw	FK Pelhrimov
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	FK Pelhrimov
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:34 +6’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 3–1–0 FK Pelhrimov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Pelhrimov	3-3 HT 3-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
31/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	4-2 HT 2-2	FK Pelhrimov
21/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Pelhrimov	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
17/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	4-1 HT 3-0	FK Pelhrimov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	FK Pelhrimov
TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sokol Tasovice	1-3 L	2-2 D
SC Znojmo	2-1 W	0-4 L
Havlickuv Brod	0-3 L	1-0 W
TJ Dalnice Sperice	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pelhrimov (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
15/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
13/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
31/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
24/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	3	5	L
17/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
10/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
03/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	3	W

FK Pelhrimov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
09/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/06	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
06/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-8	–	–	L
17/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	5	0	W
10/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
01/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou vs FK Pelhrimov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou win (45%). Probabilities: SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 45%, draw 23%, FK Pelhrimov 33%.

How many goals are expected in SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou vs FK Pelhrimov?

The model expects 3.73 goals (SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 2.02 · FK Pelhrimov 1.71), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou vs FK Pelhrimov?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.