Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice

Team pages: Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B · FK Kozlovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B0.99

FK Kozlovice2.16

1X2

16% 21% 63%

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Draw FK Kozlovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLDL

FK Kozlovice 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 0–2 FK Kozlovice (2 last)

FK Kozlovice3-0Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B0-1FK Kozlovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 1398 · FK Kozlovice 1567

	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	Draw	FK Kozlovice
Our model	15%	22%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1398 vs 1567).
H2H favours FK Kozlovice: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	FK Kozlovice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.5	2.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:39 +7’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 0–0–2 FK Kozlovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	3-0 HT 1-0	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
26/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Kozlovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
2	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	FK Kozlovice
Breclav	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sternberk	2-5 L	1-0 W
FC Brumov	0-3 L	5-1 W
FC Strani	0-2 L	2-2 D
Bzenec	0-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozlovice (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B

LWLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-4	4	7	L
16/08	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
08/08	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	6	8	L
06/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-3	0	5	L
31/05	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
24/05	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	2	2	L
17/05	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
10/05	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
30/04	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
26/04	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	0	L

FK Kozlovice

WDLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
14/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	7	D
09/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	4	2	W
10/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	6	4	W
03/06	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/05	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/05	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kozlovice win (63%). Probabilities: Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 16%, draw 21%, FK Kozlovice 63%.

How many goals are expected in Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 0.99 · FK Kozlovice 2.16), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.