Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: TJ Novy Jicin vs FC Vratimov

Team pages: TJ Novy Jicin · FC Vratimov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

TJ Novy Jicin1.49

FC Vratimov1.81

1X2

31% 24% 45%

TJ Novy Jicin Draw FC Vratimov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Novy Jicin 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Vratimov 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TJ Novy Jicin 0–2–2 FC Vratimov (4 last)

FC Vratimov1-0TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin1-1FC Vratimov
TJ Novy Jicin0-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov2-1TJ Novy Jicin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Novy Jicin 1486 · FC Vratimov 1572

	TJ Novy Jicin	Draw	FC Vratimov
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1486 vs 1572).
H2H favours FC Vratimov: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Novy Jicin	FC Vratimov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +7’	2.88	3.80	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Novy Jicin 0–2–2 FC Vratimov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	1-0 HT 1-0	TJ Novy Jicin
09/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Vratimov
15/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
10/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	2-1 HT 1-0	TJ Novy Jicin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Novy Jicin	FC Vratimov
Pusta Polom	2-3 L	4-3 W
SSK Bilovec	3-0 W	1-2 L
Bridlicna	4-2 W	2-1 W
FK Bohumin	2-4 L	3-2 W
SK Zabreh	1-0 W	3-1 W
Opava B	2-5 L	0-3 L
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Novy Jicin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	10	4	L
02/10	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	10	12	L
19/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-2	6	6	W
05/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-4	4	3	L
30/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
22/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	2-5	3	2	L
15/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

FC Vratimov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	4-3	9	4	W
11/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
27/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Novy Jicin vs FC Vratimov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Vratimov win (45%). Probabilities: TJ Novy Jicin 31%, draw 24%, FC Vratimov 45%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Novy Jicin vs FC Vratimov?

The model expects 3.3 goals (TJ Novy Jicin 1.49 · FC Vratimov 1.81), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Novy Jicin vs FC Vratimov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.