Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 10:15

Prediction: Bridlicna vs TJ Valasske Mezirici

Team pages: Bridlicna · TJ Valasske Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Bridlicna1.84

TJ Valasske Mezirici1.8

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Bridlicna Draw TJ Valasske Mezirici

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bridlicna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLWL

TJ Valasske Mezirici 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Bridlicna 0–5 TJ Valasske Mezirici (5 last)

Bridlicna0-2TJ Valasske Mezirici
TJ Valasske Mezirici3-1Bridlicna
Bridlicna0-4TJ Valasske Mezirici
TJ Valasske Mezirici3-0Bridlicna
TJ Valasske Mezirici6-1Bridlicna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bridlicna 1455 · TJ Valasske Mezirici 1542

	Bridlicna	Draw	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Valasske Mezirici (rating 1455 vs 1542).
H2H favours TJ Valasske Mezirici: 5-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bridlicna	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.8	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:52 +15’	2.30	3.80	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bridlicna 0–0–5 TJ Valasske Mezirici

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	0-2 HT 0-1	TJ Valasske Mezirici
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3-1 HT 2-1	Bridlicna
29/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Bridlicna	0-4 HT 0-0	TJ Valasske Mezirici
26/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3-0 HT 3-0	Bridlicna
27/08/22 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6-1 HT 3-0	Bridlicna

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bridlicna	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Frydek Mistek B	2-4 L	4-2 W
Jiskra Rymarov	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Vratimov	1-2 L	0-2 L
FK Sumperk	2-1 W	1-1 D
Hlucin	0-4 L	2-5 L
FK Bohumin	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bridlicna

LLWLLDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
10/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
03/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	6	L
06/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	2	L
16/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	7	7	L

TJ Valasske Mezirici

DLDWLDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	6-0	–	–	W
18/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
12/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	5	5	W
29/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bridlicna vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bridlicna win (39%). Probabilities: Bridlicna 39%, draw 24%, TJ Valasske Mezirici 37%.

How many goals are expected in Bridlicna vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Bridlicna 1.84 · TJ Valasske Mezirici 1.8), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bridlicna vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.