Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 10:15

Prediction: Velke Mezirici vs FS Trebic

Team pages: Velke Mezirici · FS Trebic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Velke Mezirici1.66

FS Trebic1.9

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Velke Mezirici Draw FS Trebic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Mezirici 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLWLDL

FS Trebic 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDWDW

Head-to-head

Velke Mezirici 2–2–2 FS Trebic (6 last)

FS Trebic3-1Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici1-3FS Trebic
FS Trebic1-1Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici2-0FS Trebic
FS Trebic2-2Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici4-2FS Trebic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Mezirici 1438 · FS Trebic 1540

	Velke Mezirici	Draw	FS Trebic
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FS Trebic (rating 1438 vs 1540).
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Mezirici	FS Trebic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.8	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.5 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:17 +6’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Mezirici 2–2–2 FS Trebic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	3-1 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	1-3 HT 0-2	FS Trebic
24/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	1-1 HT 0-0	Velke Mezirici
20/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-0 HT 1-0	FS Trebic
21/07/24 Czechia Cup	FS Trebic	2-2 HT 2-2	Velke Mezirici
02/04/17 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Mezirici	4-2 HT 4-0	FS Trebic

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Mezirici	FS Trebic
FC Spartak Velka Bites	0-2 L	0-1 L
FK Pelhrimov	0-5 L	4-2 W
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	3-2 W	2-2 D
TJ Tatran Bohunice	3-3 D	1-0 W
Sokol Tasovice	0-0 D	1-1 D
Havlickuv Brod	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FS Trebic (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Mezirici

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	2	5	L
11/10	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	4-4	2	3	D
03/10	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
27/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
20/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	5	W
28/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	2	5	D
21/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

FS Trebic

LLWLWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-2	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
19/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-6	10	2	L
28/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Mezirici vs FS Trebic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FS Trebic win (43%). Probabilities: Velke Mezirici 33%, draw 24%, FS Trebic 43%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Mezirici vs FS Trebic?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Velke Mezirici 1.66 · FS Trebic 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Mezirici vs FS Trebic?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.