Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 10/10, 10:15

Prediction: Opava B vs SK Stonava

Team pages: Opava B · SK Stonava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Opava B2.02

SK Stonava1.9

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Opava B Draw SK Stonava

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Opava B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWLLL

SK Stonava 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Opava B 1–1 SK Stonava (2 last)

SK Stonava3-4Opava B
Opava B2-5SK Stonava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Opava B 1490 · SK Stonava 1549

	Opava B	Draw	SK Stonava
Our model	41%	22%	36%
Market	41%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Stonava (rating 1490 vs 1549).
High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Opava B	SK Stonava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.3	4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +4’	2.20	3.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Opava B 1–0–1 SK Stonava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Stonava	3-4 HT 1-1	Opava B
11/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Opava B	2-5 HT 2-2	SK Stonava

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	9	8	0	1	33	11	24
2	FC Vratimov	9	7	0	2	19	12	21
3	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
4	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
5	SK Stonava	9	5	2	2	20	12	17
6	Jiskra Rymarov	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	9	4	1	4	18	18	13
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	9	3	3	3	21	17	12
10	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	9	2	1	6	12	21	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	9	0	0	9	8	38	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Opava B	SK Stonava
TJ Valasske Mezirici	0-3 L	2-2 D
Frydek Mistek B	2-3 L	2-1 W
Jiskra Rymarov	2-4 L	1-0 W
FC Vratimov	3-0 W	1-3 L
FK Sumperk	2-1 W	3-0 W
Kravare	0-3 L	1-2 L
TJ Novy Jicin	5-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Stonava (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Opava B

DDWWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
19/09	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
13/09	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
05/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-3	7	2	L
22/08	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	5-2	10	2	W
16/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
09/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
10/06	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	5	D

SK Stonava

WDLWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-1	–	–	W
18/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	7	L
08/08	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Opava B vs SK Stonava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Opava B win (41%). Probabilities: Opava B 41%, draw 23%, SK Stonava 36%.

How many goals are expected in Opava B vs SK Stonava?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Opava B 2.02 · SK Stonava 1.9), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Opava B vs SK Stonava?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.