Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 10/10, 10:15

Prediction: TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Zdar nad Sazavou

Team pages: TJ Tatran Bohunice · Zdar nad Sazavou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

TJ Tatran Bohunice2.27

Zdar nad Sazavou0.96

1X2

67% 19% 14%

TJ Tatran Bohunice Draw Zdar nad Sazavou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Tatran Bohunice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWWLL

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLLL

Head-to-head

TJ Tatran Bohunice 2–2–2 Zdar nad Sazavou (6 last)

TJ Tatran Bohunice2-0Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou0-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
Zdar nad Sazavou3-2TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice2-2Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou1-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
Zdar nad Sazavou3-1TJ Tatran Bohunice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1548 · Zdar nad Sazavou 1427

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Draw	Zdar nad Sazavou
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Tatran Bohunice (rating 1548 vs 1427).
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Zdar nad Sazavou
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.6	3.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +4’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Tatran Bohunice 2–2–2 Zdar nad Sazavou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-0 HT 0-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
07/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	0-1 HT 0-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice
04/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	3-2 HT 2-2	TJ Tatran Bohunice
28/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-2 HT 1-1	Zdar nad Sazavou
17/02/24 Club Friendly List	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-1 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
29/04/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	3-1 HT 2-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	9	8	0	1	33	11	24
2	FC Vratimov	9	7	0	2	19	12	21
3	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
4	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
5	SK Stonava	9	5	2	2	20	12	17
6	Jiskra Rymarov	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	9	4	1	4	18	18	13
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	9	3	3	3	21	17	12
10	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	9	2	1	6	12	21	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	9	0	0	9	8	38	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Zdar nad Sazavou
FS Trebic	0-1 L	5-0 W
Sparta Brno	1-2 L	1-1 D
Dosta Bystrc	3-1 W	3-2 W
FC Kurim	3-0 W	0-2 L
FC Spartak Velka Bites	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Tatran Bohunice (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Tatran Bohunice

DWDWDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
19/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
05/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	5	W
28/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	14	5	D
23/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
12/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Zdar nad Sazavou

LWDWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
26/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	13	4	L
13/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Tatran Bohunice win (67%). Probabilities: TJ Tatran Bohunice 67%, draw 19%, Zdar nad Sazavou 14%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

The model expects 3.22 goals (TJ Tatran Bohunice 2.27 · Zdar nad Sazavou 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.