Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: SK Prostejov B vs Sternberk

Team pages: Sternberk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

SK Prostejov B2.05

Sternberk1.65

1X2

47% 23% 31%

SK Prostejov B Draw Sternberk

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Prostejov B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Sternberk 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Prostejov B 1517 · Sternberk 1528

	SK Prostejov B	Draw	Sternberk
Our model	47%	23%	31%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Prostejov B	Sternberk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	2.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.1	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:59 +8’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Prostejov B	Sternberk
FC Strani	2-0 W	3-1 W
Bzenec	4-2 W	1-0 W
Tatran Vsechovice	1-2 L	1-6 L
Slavicin	2-1 W	1-3 L
FK Nove Sady	1-1 D	6-0 W
TJ Sokol Lanzhot	1-3 L	4-1 W
FK Kozlovice	1-4 L	0-1 L
Hluk	3-3 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Prostejov B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	10	4	W
04/10	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
26/09	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
19/09	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
06/09	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	3	5	L
29/08	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	3-3	8	5	D
22/08	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	6	W
15/08	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	4	5	D

Sternberk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-3	6	11	W
04/10	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
26/09	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-6	–	–	L
12/09	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	8	3	W
29/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
23/08	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
15/08	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Prostejov B vs Sternberk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Prostejov B win (47%). Probabilities: SK Prostejov B 47%, draw 23%, Sternberk 31%.

How many goals are expected in SK Prostejov B vs Sternberk?

The model expects 3.7 goals (SK Prostejov B 2.05 · Sternberk 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Prostejov B vs Sternberk?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.