Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Breclav vs Slavicin

Team pages: Breclav · Slavicin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Breclav1.6

Slavicin1.51

1X2

40% 25% 36%

Breclav Draw Slavicin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Breclav 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Slavicin 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Breclav 0–2 Slavicin (2 last)

Slavicin2-0Breclav
Breclav2-3Slavicin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breclav 1480 · Slavicin 1519

	Breclav	Draw	Slavicin
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slavicin: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breclav	Slavicin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:48 +21’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Breclav 0–0–2 Slavicin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Slavicin	2-0 HT 1-0	Breclav
29/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Breclav	2-3 HT 1-1	Slavicin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breclav	Slavicin
SK Krumvir	0-1 L	1-2 L
SFK Holesov	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Brumov	5-2 W	3-1 W
SK Batov	2-1 W	4-2 W
SK Prostejov B	1-2 L	1-2 L
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slavicin (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breclav

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/10	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
04/10	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-2	6	2	W
29/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
16/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Slavicin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
11/10	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
26/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-3	7	4	W
23/08	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	0	7	L
16/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breclav vs Slavicin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breclav win (40%). Probabilities: Breclav 40%, draw 25%, Slavicin 36%.

How many goals are expected in Breclav vs Slavicin?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Breclav 1.6 · Slavicin 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Breclav vs Slavicin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.