Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Kozlovice vs TJ Sokol Lanzhot

Team pages: FK Kozlovice · TJ Sokol Lanzhot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

FK Kozlovice1.89

TJ Sokol Lanzhot1.35

1X2

50% 24% 27%

FK Kozlovice Draw TJ Sokol Lanzhot

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kozlovice 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDDWL

TJ Sokol Lanzhot 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

FK Kozlovice 0–1–1 TJ Sokol Lanzhot (2 last)

TJ Sokol Lanzhot3-0FK Kozlovice
FK Kozlovice1-1TJ Sokol Lanzhot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kozlovice 1529 · TJ Sokol Lanzhot 1569

	FK Kozlovice	Draw	TJ Sokol Lanzhot
Our model	49%	24%	26%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Sokol Lanzhot (rating 1529 vs 1569).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kozlovice	TJ Sokol Lanzhot
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.4	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.90

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:25 +22’	1.80	3.90	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kozlovice 0–1–1 TJ Sokol Lanzhot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Sokol Lanzhot	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Kozlovice
07/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	1-1 HT 0-0	TJ Sokol Lanzhot

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kozlovice	TJ Sokol Lanzhot
Hluk	4-1 W	1-1 D
Breclav	1-1 D	4-3 W
SFK Holesov	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Brumov	5-0 W	1-0 W
SK Batov	3-2 W	1-0 W
SK Prostejov B	4-1 W	3-1 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	1-0 W	3-2 W
Sternberk	1-0 W	1-4 L
FC Strani	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozlovice (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kozlovice

DWWWWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
10/10	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/10	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
26/09	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
11/09	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
06/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	11	5	W
30/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
23/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
14/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	7	D

TJ Sokol Lanzhot

WLLWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
10/10	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
04/10	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
27/09	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/09	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
12/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
06/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-2	8	9	W
29/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kozlovice vs TJ Sokol Lanzhot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kozlovice win (50%). Probabilities: FK Kozlovice 50%, draw 24%, TJ Sokol Lanzhot 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kozlovice vs TJ Sokol Lanzhot?

The model expects 3.24 goals (FK Kozlovice 1.89 · TJ Sokol Lanzhot 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kozlovice vs TJ Sokol Lanzhot?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.