Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 29/08, 16:30

Prediction: Havlickuv Brod vs FC Kurim

Team pages: Havlickuv Brod · FC Kurim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Havlickuv Brod1.49

FC Kurim1.93

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Havlickuv Brod Draw FC Kurim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Havlickuv Brod 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDDLWW

FC Kurim 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Havlickuv Brod 0–2–2 FC Kurim (4 last)

FC Kurim2-2Havlickuv Brod
Havlickuv Brod0-1FC Kurim
FC Kurim1-0Havlickuv Brod
Havlickuv Brod2-2FC Kurim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Havlickuv Brod 1517 · FC Kurim 1521

	Havlickuv Brod	Draw	FC Kurim
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kurim: 2-2-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Havlickuv Brod	FC Kurim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	5 / 6.7	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:43 +3’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Havlickuv Brod 0–2–2 FC Kurim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	2-2 HT 0-1	Havlickuv Brod
13/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Havlickuv Brod	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Kurim
10/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	1-0 HT 1-0	Havlickuv Brod
05/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Havlickuv Brod	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Kurim

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
3	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
4	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
13	SSK Bilovec	3	0	1	2	2	8	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Havlickuv Brod	FC Kurim
FK Pelhrimov	0-1 L	8-1 W
AFC Humpolec	2-0 W	1-0 W
Zdar nad Sazavou	0-0 D	2-0 W
Sparta Brno	2-8 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Havlickuv Brod

LDWWLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	9	4	W
16/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
07/06	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
23/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
17/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	4	5	W
08/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
02/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-5	2-8	7	2	L

FC Kurim

DDWWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W
13/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
30/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	8-1	–	–	W
16/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
10/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
02/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Havlickuv Brod vs FC Kurim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kurim win (47%). Probabilities: Havlickuv Brod 29%, draw 24%, FC Kurim 47%.

How many goals are expected in Havlickuv Brod vs FC Kurim?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Havlickuv Brod 1.49 · FC Kurim 1.93), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Havlickuv Brod vs FC Kurim?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.