Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Chotebor

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · FC Chotebor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Zdar nad Sazavou2.44

FC Chotebor1.19

1X2

65% 18% 17%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw FC Chotebor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWDWD

FC Chotebor 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 2–0 FC Chotebor (2 last)

FC Chotebor0-1Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou4-0FC Chotebor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1463 · FC Chotebor 1410

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	FC Chotebor
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	66%	16%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zdar nad Sazavou (rating 1463 vs 1410).
H2H favours Zdar nad Sazavou: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	FC Chotebor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.8	1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 3.3	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:25 +3’	1.36	5.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 2–0–0 FC Chotebor

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Chotebor	0-1 HT 0-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
03/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Chotebor

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
4	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	FC Chotebor
FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-2 D	3-1 W
FS Trebic	5-0 W	0-2 L
Sparta Brno	1-1 D	0-2 L
Dosta Bystrc	3-2 W	2-2 D
FC Kurim	0-2 L	1-8 L
SC Znojmo	1-10 L	1-3 L
SK Artis Brno B	0-5 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Zdar nad Sazavou (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zdar nad Sazavou

DLLLLLWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-10	0	1	L
31/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
24/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	0	1	L
16/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
08/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

FC Chotebor

LWLWLLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-8	2	3	L
13/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	8	4	L
17/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Chotebor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zdar nad Sazavou win (65%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 65%, draw 18%, FC Chotebor 17%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Chotebor?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 2.44 · FC Chotebor 1.19), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs FC Chotebor?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.