Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 06/09, 10:15

Prediction: FK Chlumec N.C vs Turnov

Team pages: FK Chlumec N.C · Turnov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

FK Chlumec N.C1.75

Turnov1.81

1X2

37% 23% 40%

FK Chlumec N.C Draw Turnov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Chlumec N.C 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLDLL

Turnov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWDWLL

Head-to-head

FK Chlumec N.C 0–1–1 Turnov (2 last)

Turnov3-3FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C1-3Turnov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Chlumec N.C 1409 · Turnov 1512

	FK Chlumec N.C	Draw	Turnov
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Turnov (rating 1409 vs 1512).
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Chlumec N.C	Turnov
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	2.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +33’	2.40	4.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chlumec N.C 0–1–1 Turnov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Turnov	3-3 HT 2-2	FK Chlumec N.C
28/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	1-3 HT 1-1	Turnov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
4	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Chlumec N.C	Turnov
SK Kosmonosy	0-2 L	3-3 D
SK Vysoke Myto	2-4 L	0-2 L
FK Brandys nad Labem	1-1 D	1-3 L
FK Horni Redice	0-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Turnov (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Chlumec N.C

LWLLDLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
06/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	0-4	7	4	L
17/05	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
10/05	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Turnov

WLWLDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-5	4	4	L
16/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	4	W
08/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	3	5	W
07/06	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	3-3	3	1	D
31/05	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	3-4	6	5	L
24/05	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	9	3	W
16/05	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
08/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Chlumec N.C vs Turnov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Turnov win (40%). Probabilities: FK Chlumec N.C 37%, draw 23%, Turnov 40%.

How many goals are expected in FK Chlumec N.C vs Turnov?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FK Chlumec N.C 1.75 · Turnov 1.81), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Chlumec N.C vs Turnov?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.