Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 06/09, 10:15

Prediction: Velke Mezirici vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Team pages: Velke Mezirici · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Velke Mezirici1.77

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1.52

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Velke Mezirici Draw SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Mezirici 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDLDD

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Velke Mezirici 2–1–3 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou (6 last)

Velke Mezirici5-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou2-1Velke Mezirici
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou2-1Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici2-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Velke Mezirici1-3SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1-1Velke Mezirici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Mezirici 1513 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1457

	Velke Mezirici	Draw	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	44%	23%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Velke Mezirici (rating 1513 vs 1457).
H2H favours SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Mezirici	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	3.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.90

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:47 +14’	1.91	4.00	3.00
10:15 +2’	2.05▲	3.90▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Mezirici 2–1–3 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	5-1 HT 3-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
19/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-1 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici
29/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-1 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici
25/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-1 HT 0-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
10/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	1-3 HT 1-2	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
06/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-1 HT 1-0	Velke Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
4	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Mezirici	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
TJ Tatran Bohunice	3-3 D	1-1 D
Sokol Tasovice	0-0 D	1-3 L
Havlickuv Brod	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Velke Mezirici (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Mezirici

WWWWWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	2	5	D
21/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
07/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	2	D
13/06	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
05/06	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	3	5	W
16/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
08/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	4	W

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

WLLLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	15	5	D
23/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
15/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
13/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
31/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
24/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	3	5	L
17/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
10/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Mezirici vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Velke Mezirici win (43%). Probabilities: Velke Mezirici 43%, draw 24%, SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 33%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Mezirici vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Velke Mezirici 1.77 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Mezirici vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.