Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 05/09, 10:15

Prediction: FC Kurim vs Sokol Tasovice

Team pages: FC Kurim · Sokol Tasovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

FC Kurim2.14

Sokol Tasovice1.25

1X2

57% 22% 21%

FC Kurim Draw Sokol Tasovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kurim 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWLWW

Sokol Tasovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWDDW

Head-to-head

FC Kurim 1–3 Sokol Tasovice (4 last)

Sokol Tasovice2-0FC Kurim
FC Kurim0-2Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice2-0FC Kurim
FC Kurim2-0Sokol Tasovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kurim 1517 · Sokol Tasovice 1530

	FC Kurim	Draw	Sokol Tasovice
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sokol Tasovice: 3-0-1.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kurim	Sokol Tasovice
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.9	4.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	4.20 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +11’	1.57	4.20	4.20
06:31 +2’	1.53▼	4.33▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kurim 1–0–3 Sokol Tasovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Kurim
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	0-2 HT 0-0	Sokol Tasovice
08/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Kurim
02/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	2-0 HT 1-0	Sokol Tasovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Hlucin	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kurim	Sokol Tasovice
AFC Humpolec	1-0 W	0-6 L
FK Pelhrimov	8-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kurim

DWWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W
13/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
30/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	8-1	–	–	W
16/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
10/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D

Sokol Tasovice

LLLDWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	12	1	W
21/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
09/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	4	W
07/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	5-2	6	4	W
30/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
16/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
10/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kurim vs Sokol Tasovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kurim win (57%). Probabilities: FC Kurim 57%, draw 22%, Sokol Tasovice 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kurim vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model expects 3.39 goals (FC Kurim 2.14 · Sokol Tasovice 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kurim vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.