Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 05/09, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Team pages: FC Vratimov · Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

FC Vratimov2.97

Frydlant Nad Ostravici1.14

1X2

73% 16% 11%

FC Vratimov Draw Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLWWW

Frydlant Nad Ostravici 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Vratimov 2–1–3 Frydlant Nad Ostravici (6 last)

FC Vratimov5-0Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Frydlant Nad Ostravici3-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov0-2Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Frydlant Nad Ostravici0-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov1-0Frydlant Nad Ostravici
FC Vratimov3-4Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1587 · Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1404

	FC Vratimov	Draw	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Our model	74%	15%	11%
Market	73%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1587 vs 1404).
H2H favours Frydlant Nad Ostravici: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +17’	1.22	5.50	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vratimov 2–1–3 Frydlant Nad Ostravici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	5-0 HT 3-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
28/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Vratimov
08/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	0-2 HT 0-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
03/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
24/02/24 Club Friendly List	FC Vratimov	1-0 HT 0-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
19/07/23 Club Friendly List	FC Vratimov	3-4 HT 1-2	Frydlant Nad Ostravici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Hlucin	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
SK Stonava	3-1 W	1-3 L
FK Sumperk	2-0 W	1-5 L
FK Petrvald na Morave	3-2 W	2-2 D
Bridlicna	2-0 W	2-2 D
SSK Bilovec	2-2 D	1-1 D
Opava B	2-1 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

WDWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	3	2	W
23/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	7	D
08/05	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	5	W

Frydlant Nad Ostravici

LDLDDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	0	3	L
22/08	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-7	3	7	L
15/08	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
14/06	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	5	D
06/06	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-5	–	–	L
16/05	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
08/05	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vratimov win (73%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 73%, draw 16%, Frydlant Nad Ostravici 11%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

The model expects 4.12 goals (FC Vratimov 2.97 · Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs Frydlant Nad Ostravici?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.