Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 05/09, 10:15

Prediction: TJ Novy Jicin vs FK Bohumin

Team pages: TJ Novy Jicin · FK Bohumin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

TJ Novy Jicin1.13

FK Bohumin2.85

1X2

11% 17% 72%

TJ Novy Jicin Draw FK Bohumin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Novy Jicin 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLDWLW

FK Bohumin 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

TJ Novy Jicin 2–1–3 FK Bohumin (6 last)

TJ Novy Jicin2-2FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin2-3TJ Novy Jicin
FK Bohumin1-0TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin0-2FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin2-1TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin2-1FK Bohumin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Novy Jicin 1504 · FK Bohumin 1591

	TJ Novy Jicin	Draw	FK Bohumin
Our model	12%	16%	72%
Market	11%	17%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bohumin (rating 1504 vs 1591).
H2H favours FK Bohumin: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Novy Jicin	FK Bohumin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	3.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

18.00

X5.25

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.95

2 (-1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:45 +2’	8.00	5.25	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Novy Jicin 2–1–3 FK Bohumin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	2-2 HT 2-0	FK Bohumin
03/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-3 HT 1-1	TJ Novy Jicin
09/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	1-0 HT 0-0	TJ Novy Jicin
03/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Bohumin
23/04/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-1 HT 0-1	TJ Novy Jicin
10/09/22 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Bohumin

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Hlucin	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Novy Jicin	FK Bohumin
Pusta Polom	0-0 D	4-1 W
TJ Valasske Mezirici	2-2 D	5-3 W
FK Sumperk	0-0 D	6-3 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Bohumin (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Novy Jicin

DDWDWLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
22/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	2-5	3	2	L
15/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-7	–	–	L
05/06	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
31/05	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/05	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/05	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/05	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

FK Bohumin

LWLWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	10	4	W
23/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	6	2	W
16/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	6	7	W
07/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-3	6	4	W
07/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	6-3	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	6	W
10/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Novy Jicin vs FK Bohumin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Bohumin win (72%). Probabilities: TJ Novy Jicin 11%, draw 17%, FK Bohumin 72%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Novy Jicin vs FK Bohumin?

The model expects 3.98 goals (TJ Novy Jicin 1.13 · FK Bohumin 2.85), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Novy Jicin vs FK Bohumin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.