Football · Czechia Cup · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: FC Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
FC Chotebor1.63
Velke Mezirici1.57
1X2
39% 24% 37%
FC Chotebor Draw Velke Mezirici
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Chotebor 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWLWLL
Velke Mezirici 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWWWL
Head-to-head
FC Chotebor 1–1–0 Velke Mezirici (2 last)
  • FC Chotebor4-0Velke Mezirici
  • Velke Mezirici1-1FC Chotebor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Chotebor 1503 · Velke Mezirici 1517
FC ChoteborDrawVelke Mezirici
Our model39%25%36%
Market40%22%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC ChoteborVelke Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.62 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.91.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 5.32 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.33 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Chotebor 110 Velke Mezirici

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Czechia 4. Liga
FC Chotebor4-0
HT 3-0
Velke Mezirici
28/09/25
Czechia 4. Liga
Velke Mezirici1-1
HT 1-0
FC Chotebor

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC ChoteborVelke Mezirici
Sparta Brno 1-2 L 2-1 W
FC Kurim 1-0 W 1-2 L
SC Znojmo 1-3 L 2-2 D
FC Spartak Velka Bites 3-1 W 2-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Chotebor

DWWWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/06 Sparta Brno
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 1-2 62 L
06/06 FK Pelhrimov
Czechia 4. Liga
0-2 1-2 L
30/05 FC Kurim
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 1-0 24 W
24/05 SC Znojmo
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 1-3 84 L
17/05 FC Spartak Velka Bites
Czechia 4. Liga
3-1 3-1 W
08/05 SK Artis Brno B
Czechia 4. Liga
0-3 0-5 L
01/05 Velke Mezirici
Czechia 4. Liga
3-0 4-0 W
25/04 Havlickuv Brod
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 2-1 52 W
19/04 Sokol Tasovice
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 3-1 W
12/04 TJ Dalnice Sperice
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 1-1 D

Velke Mezirici

LDLLWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/06 FS Trebic
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 1-3 71 L
05/06 TJ Tatran Bohunice
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 2-1 22 W
30/05 AFC Humpolec
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 2-1 W
24/05 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Czechia 4. Liga
3-0 5-1 35 W
16/05 Zdar nad Sazavou
Czechia 4. Liga
2-0 3-0 50 W
08/05 Sparta Brno
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 2-1 104 W
01/05 FC Chotebor
Czechia 4. Liga
0-3 0-4 L
26/04 FC Kurim
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 1-2 14 L
17/04 SC Znojmo
Czechia 4. Liga
2-2 2-2 43 D
12/04 FC Spartak Velka Bites
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 2-5 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Chotebor win (39%). Probabilities: FC Chotebor 39%, draw 24%, Velke Mezirici 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici?

The model expects 3.2 goals (FC Chotebor 1.63 · Velke Mezirici 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Chotebor vs Velke Mezirici?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.