Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: FK Blansko vs Frydek Mistek

Team pages: FK Blansko · Frydek Mistek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

FK Blansko1.15

Frydek Mistek1.76

1X2

24% 24% 51%

FK Blansko Draw Frydek Mistek

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Blansko 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLDWL

Frydek Mistek 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDLWLW

Head-to-head

FK Blansko 0–3–3 Frydek Mistek (6 last)

Frydek Mistek2-0FK Blansko
FK Blansko1-2Frydek Mistek
FK Blansko1-1Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek1-1FK Blansko
FK Blansko2-2Frydek Mistek
Frydek Mistek3-1FK Blansko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Blansko 1456 · Frydek Mistek 1533

	FK Blansko	Draw	Frydek Mistek
Our model	24%	26%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1456 vs 1533).
H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Blansko	Frydek Mistek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	4.2 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +2’	3.60	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Blansko 0–3–3 Frydek Mistek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Blansko
11/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	1-2 HT 0-0	Frydek Mistek
16/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	1-1 HT 0-1	Frydek Mistek
13/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Blansko
31/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	2-2 HT 1-2	Frydek Mistek
08/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Frydek Mistek	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Blansko

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Blansko	Frydek Mistek
TJ Unie Hlubina	0-1 L	2-3 L
MFK Karvina B	5-3 W	3-0 W
Polanka	1-1 D	0-1 L
Sigma Olomouc B	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Blansko

LLDLDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
10/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
26/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
20/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	5-3	4	3	W
12/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
02/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
23/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L

Frydek Mistek

LWWDWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	14	2	W
10/10	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
03/10	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
27/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
19/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
05/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
02/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Blansko vs Frydek Mistek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (51%). Probabilities: FK Blansko 24%, draw 24%, Frydek Mistek 51%.

How many goals are expected in FK Blansko vs Frydek Mistek?

The model expects 2.92 goals (FK Blansko 1.15 · Frydek Mistek 1.76), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Blansko vs Frydek Mistek?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.