Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 28/08, 17:00

Prediction: TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Velke Mezirici

Team pages: TJ Tatran Bohunice · Velke Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

TJ Tatran Bohunice1.86

Velke Mezirici0.93

1X2

59% 23% 18%

TJ Tatran Bohunice Draw Velke Mezirici

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Tatran Bohunice 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Velke Mezirici 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TJ Tatran Bohunice 4–2 Velke Mezirici (6 last)

Velke Mezirici2-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-0Velke Mezirici
TJ Tatran Bohunice4-2Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici4-1TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice6-2Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici0-2TJ Tatran Bohunice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1585 · Velke Mezirici 1500

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Draw	Velke Mezirici
Our model	58%	24%	17%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Tatran Bohunice (rating 1585 vs 1500).
H2H favours TJ Tatran Bohunice: 4-0-2.
High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Velke Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 8.3	3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +19’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Tatran Bohunice 4–0–2 Velke Mezirici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-1 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
01/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-0 HT 0-0	Velke Mezirici
25/07/25 Czechia Cup	TJ Tatran Bohunice	4-2 HT 2-1	Velke Mezirici
16/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	4-1 HT 1-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
12/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	6-2 HT 2-1	Velke Mezirici
26/07/24 Czechia Cup	Velke Mezirici	0-2 HT 0-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
3	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
4	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
13	SSK Bilovec	3	0	1	2	2	8	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Velke Mezirici
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-1 D	5-1 W
Havlickuv Brod	2-1 W	1-3 L
Sokol Tasovice	3-0 W	0-0 D
FS Trebic	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Tatran Bohunice (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Tatran Bohunice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
12/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
30/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
24/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	3	W
16/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	1	W
08/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
01/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Velke Mezirici

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
07/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	2	D
13/06	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
05/06	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	3	5	W
16/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
08/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
01/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Velke Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Tatran Bohunice win (59%). Probabilities: TJ Tatran Bohunice 59%, draw 23%, Velke Mezirici 18%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Velke Mezirici?

The model expects 2.79 goals (TJ Tatran Bohunice 1.86 · Velke Mezirici 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Velke Mezirici?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.