Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 22/08, 10:30

Prediction: Sparta Brno vs FC Chotebor

Team pages: Sparta Brno · FC Chotebor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Sparta Brno2.13

FC Chotebor1.47

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Sparta Brno Draw FC Chotebor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Brno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLWD

FC Chotebor 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Sparta Brno 1–1–0 FC Chotebor (2 last)

Sparta Brno2-1FC Chotebor
FC Chotebor1-1Sparta Brno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1503 · FC Chotebor 1446

	Sparta Brno	Draw	FC Chotebor
Our model	52%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Brno (rating 1503 vs 1446).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Brno	FC Chotebor
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	1.3 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:40 +12’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Brno 1–1–0 FC Chotebor

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Chotebor
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Chotebor	1-1 HT 0-1	Sparta Brno

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Bridlicna	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Brno	FC Chotebor
FC Kurim	1-3 L	1-8 L
SC Znojmo	1-5 L	1-3 L
FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-2 L	3-1 W
SK Artis Brno B	1-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sparta Brno

LLLLWWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
12/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia Cup	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
08/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
25/07	SFK Vrchovina Czechia Cup	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/07	Slovan Rosice Club Friendly List	2-0	9-0	11	2	W
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
31/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
20/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L

FC Chotebor

LWLWLLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/08	FC Vsetin Czechia Cup	0-0	1-6	–	–	L
08/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-8	2	3	L
26/07	Velke Mezirici Czechia Cup	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
24/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	8	4	L
17/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs FC Chotebor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Brno win (52%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 52%, draw 22%, FC Chotebor 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs FC Chotebor?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Sparta Brno 2.13 · FC Chotebor 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs FC Chotebor?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.