Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 22/08, 16:30

Prediction: SFK Holesov vs SK Batov

Team pages: SFK Holesov · SK Batov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

SFK Holesov1.7

SK Batov1.28

1X2

47% 25% 28%

SFK Holesov Draw SK Batov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Holesov 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWLLWD

SK Batov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWLWLL

Head-to-head

SFK Holesov 5–1–0 SK Batov (6 last)

SFK Holesov3-0SK Batov
SK Batov1-1SFK Holesov
SFK Holesov2-0SK Batov
SK Batov0-2SFK Holesov
SFK Holesov2-0SK Batov
SFK Holesov4-1SK Batov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Holesov 1510 · SK Batov 1500

	SFK Holesov	Draw	SK Batov
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SFK Holesov: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Holesov	SK Batov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.8	2.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.75 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.70 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +15’	2.10	3.75	2.70
11:14 +3’	1.90▼	3.80▲	3.10▲
22:02 +1’	1.61▼	4.10▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Holesov 5–1–0 SK Batov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	3-0 HT 2-0	SK Batov
31/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	1-1 HT 1-1	SFK Holesov
04/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Batov
27/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	0-2 HT 0-2	SFK Holesov
08/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	2-0 HT 0-0	SK Batov
04/11/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	4-1 HT 2-1	SK Batov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Bridlicna	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Holesov	SK Batov
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	3-0 W	0-1 L
Slavicin	1-3 L	4-2 W
FK Nove Sady	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Holesov (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SFK Holesov

DDWWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
25/07	Slavicin Czechia Cup	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/06	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
06/06	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	14	4	W
30/05	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	8	4	W
17/05	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	1	W
09/05	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

SK Batov

WDLWDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
12/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	3	2	W
06/06	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
22/05	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
30/04	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/04	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/04	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Holesov vs SK Batov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFK Holesov win (47%). Probabilities: SFK Holesov 47%, draw 25%, SK Batov 28%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Holesov vs SK Batov?

The model expects 2.98 goals (SFK Holesov 1.7 · SK Batov 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Holesov vs SK Batov?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.