Football · Czechia Cup · 26/07, 16:30

Prediction: FS Trebic vs Sokol Tasovice

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

FS Trebic1.68

Sokol Tasovice1.68

1X2

38% 23% 38%

FS Trebic Draw Sokol Tasovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FS Trebic 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLWDDW

Sokol Tasovice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLDWW

Head-to-head

FS Trebic 1–3–1 Sokol Tasovice (5 last)

FS Trebic1-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice2-1FS Trebic
FS Trebic0-0Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice0-0FS Trebic
Sokol Tasovice0-2FS Trebic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FS Trebic 1487 · Sokol Tasovice 1506

	FS Trebic	Draw	Sokol Tasovice
Our model	38%	25%	38%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FS Trebic	Sokol Tasovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.46 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.39

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +2’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:03	2.46	3.49	2.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FS Trebic 1–3–1 Sokol Tasovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	1-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Tasovice
26/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	2-1 HT 1-0	FS Trebic
23/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	0-0 HT 0-0	Sokol Tasovice
18/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	0-0 HT 0-0	FS Trebic
30/07/16 Czechia Cup	Sokol Tasovice	0-2 HT 0-1	FS Trebic

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FS Trebic	Sokol Tasovice
TJ Dalnice Sperice	2-0 W	5-2 W
FK Pelhrimov	2-5 L	2-1 W
TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-3 L	0-3 L
AFC Humpolec	1-1 D	0-6 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	0-0 D	0-1 L
Zdar nad Sazavou	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sparta Brno	3-3 D	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Tasovice (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FS Trebic

DLDDLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
07/06	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
24/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-5	5	0	L
08/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
03/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
19/04	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	3-3	–	–	D

Sokol Tasovice

WLWDLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	4	W
07/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	5-2	6	4	W
30/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/05	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
16/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
10/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
03/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/04	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	5-2	4	6	W
19/04	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
12/04	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FS Trebic vs Sokol Tasovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FS Trebic win (38%). Probabilities: FS Trebic 38%, draw 23%, Sokol Tasovice 38%.

How many goals are expected in FS Trebic vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model expects 3.35 goals (FS Trebic 1.68 · Sokol Tasovice 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FS Trebic vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.