Football · Czechia Cup · 25/07, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs MFK Havirov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FC Vratimov1.27

MFK Havirov2.11

1X2

22% 21% 56%

FC Vratimov Draw MFK Havirov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWW

MFK Havirov 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWLLL

Head-to-head

FC Vratimov 1–3–2 MFK Havirov (6 last)

MFK Havirov0-3FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov1-6MFK Havirov
FC Vratimov2-2MFK Havirov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1579 · MFK Havirov 1535

	FC Vratimov	Draw	MFK Havirov
Our model	22%	23%	56%
Market	23%	20%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1579 vs 1535).
H2H favours MFK Havirov: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	MFK Havirov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.7	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 4	4.5 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.50

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +4’	3.90	4.50	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vratimov 1–3–2 MFK Havirov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	0-3 HT 0-2	FC Vratimov
01/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	1-6 HT 0-2	MFK Havirov
26/07/25 Czechia Cup	FC Vratimov	2-2 HT 1-1	MFK Havirov
30/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Havirov	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Vratimov
24/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	0-2 HT 0-0	MFK Havirov
29/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	2-2 HT 1-1	MFK Havirov

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	MFK Havirov
FK Sumperk	2-0 W	3-2 W
SK Stonava	0-1 L	2-4 L
FC Irp Cesky Tesin	2-0 W	2-0 W
FK Bohumin	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vratimov (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

WWLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	3	2	W
23/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	7	D
08/05	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
01/05	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
25/04	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
11/04	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	1	9	W

MFK Havirov

WWWDDWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/06	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	–	–	L
07/06	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
31/05	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
24/05	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	4	4	W
16/05	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	11	4	D
01/05	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	16	3	D
26/04	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	2	W
19/04	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	3-2	–	–	W
12/04	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs MFK Havirov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Havirov win (56%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 22%, draw 21%, MFK Havirov 56%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs MFK Havirov?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FC Vratimov 1.27 · MFK Havirov 2.11), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs MFK Havirov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.