Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs TJ Unie Hlubina

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · TJ Unie Hlubina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

SFK Vrchovina1.36

TJ Unie Hlubina1.57

1X2

33% 25% 42%

SFK Vrchovina Draw TJ Unie Hlubina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLLLD

TJ Unie Hlubina 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWDDD

Head-to-head

SFK Vrchovina 1–1 TJ Unie Hlubina (2 last)

TJ Unie Hlubina1-0SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina2-1TJ Unie Hlubina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1466 · TJ Unie Hlubina 1527

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	TJ Unie Hlubina
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Unie Hlubina (rating 1466 vs 1527).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	TJ Unie Hlubina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:19 +1’	2.70	3.70	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Vrchovina 1–0–1 TJ Unie Hlubina

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	1-0 HT 1-0	SFK Vrchovina
18/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-1 HT 1-1	TJ Unie Hlubina

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	9	7	2	0	17	1	23
2	FC Brno II	9	6	1	2	22	15	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
7	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	9	3	4	2	8	7	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	TJ Unie Hlubina
FC Vsetin	2-2 D	4-2 W
FC Brno II	0-3 L	8-2 W
SK Hranice	0-1 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Unie Hlubina (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Vrchovina

LDLWWWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
12/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	9	L
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
01/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	1	L

TJ Unie Hlubina

DWWLWLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
13/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	5	5	W
30/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
15/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
08/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	1	W
31/07	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	6-2	8-2	2	4	W
12/06	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Unie Hlubina win (42%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 33%, draw 25%, TJ Unie Hlubina 42%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

The model expects 2.94 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.36 · TJ Unie Hlubina 1.57), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.